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CWPINe oy : Ounces County Budget Olffte
<br /> OCS Student Projections (' ] (4) 113470A0
<br /> Bennentary
<br /> School Year 2000.01 2001 -02 1 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 200647 2007-08 2006-09 200940 2010-11 2011-12 201243 201114 20144S 2015.16
<br /> Actual 3 078 2.893 2 901 2 945 3,016 3,006
<br /> Tiscttler r' 3 064 3, 122 3 179 3 237 3,295 3 353 3 410 3 468 3 .526 3 5B4
<br /> OC Planning 3 085 3 164 3 247 3 332 3 419 3 510 3 ,604 3 701 3 801 3 904
<br /> 10 Vear Growth 3 063 3 135 3 176 3 231 3 238 3 270 3 303 3,336 3 ,369 3 403
<br /> 5 Year Growth 3 054 3 115 3 142 3 , 187 1 3 181 3 213 3 245 3 27A 3 310 3 344
<br /> 3 Year Growth 3 ,0665 3 ,135 3 166 1 3 217 3 213 3 245 1 3 278 3 311 1 3 344 3 377
<br /> Average 3100 3,134 3 182 3,241 3 269 3 318 32368 9 419 3,470 9 522
<br /> Annual Change - Increase Decrease in Actual 8 Projected Membership) 6 44 71 60 68 48 59 28 49 5o 51 51 52
<br /> G - 100% Level of Service 3 820 3,820 3 820 3 820 3 820 3,11)20 3 920 3 920 ] 637 3 637 3 617 3 677 3 637 3 637 3 637 31637
<br /> Number of Students Actual and Projected, Over Under 100% LOS 421 (9271 ISIS) 67 804 914 88 396 '319 2M ' 16
<br /> 105% Level of Service - 4011 4AII 4011 4a§l1 4011 41,1114 4116 116 1 3 19 3819 1 3919 3819 SA19 3812 3819 3919
<br /> Number of Students, Actual and Projected, Over Under 105% LOS 933 ( 1 .1161 . 110 (1 99 (1 ,110) 1 982 6371 578 i5.`; :;. ' Sol ) 431 . 49 '2961
<br /> Actual - % Level of Service 80.6% 75.7% 75.9% T7A % I 79.0% 76.7%
<br /> Average - % Level of Service 78.2% 80.o% 87.5°/a 89. 1 % 89.9% 91 .2% 92.6% 94 .0% 95,4a/o 96.80h
<br /> Annual Student Growth Rats (7 .6.01% 028% 1,�Ya 2.41% a&33% 2.00% 2M% 1 .53% 0.80% 1 .50X 1 .50% 1 .51% 1 .50% law
<br /> add0onal I:A new scars 3, Hill;ppouah Elemmrary
<br /> OCS Student Projections(' )
<br /> Middle
<br /> School Year 2000-01 1 2001 -02 2002-03 2003-04 1 200405 1 2005-06 1 200&07 200748 116
<br /> 20MIO 2010.11 2011-12 2012.13 2013.14 2014.15 201546
<br /> Actual 1 504 1 ,527 1 .631 1 ,671 1 .593 1 .590
<br /> Taschler 12' L620 1 650 11711 1 .742 11772 1 803 1 833 1 8&t 1 894
<br /> OC Planning1 611 1 638 1 695 1 725 1 755 1 786 1 819 1111511
<br /> 1 BBS
<br /> 10 Year Growth 1 561 1 547 1538 1 821 1 648168ti 1 678 1 895 1712
<br /> 5 Year Growth 1 572 1563 1 556 1 640 1 653 1 683 1 661 1677 1694
<br /> 3 Year Growth 1581 1579 1 588 1 ,682 1 .6981 1 736 1 715 1 .7321 1 749
<br /> Average 1 569 1 595 1 S92 1 616 1 682 1 705 1 739 1 t741 1 764 1 787
<br /> Annual Change - Increase Decrease in Actual 8 Projected Membership) 23 104 40 6 26 64 23 34 2 23 A166
<br /> Capacity - 100% Level of Service 1 466 1 466 1 ,466 1 .466 1 466 1 466 2 166 2 166 2 lSfi 2 166 2 166 2 166 2 166 2 166 2 166
<br /> Number of Student Actual and Projected, Over Under 100% LOS 39 61 165 205 127 124
<br /> 107% Level of Service 1 569 1 ,569 1 569 1 569 1 569 1 569 2 318 a 2 318 318 2,311 1 2 318 1 2lilt 2 318 1 2 318 1 Z318 2 318
<br /> Number of Student Actin and Projected Over Under 107% LOS 62 102 24 21
<br /> Actual - 04, Level of Service 102 6% 104 .2% 111 .3X 114 . 0% 10870/ol 108.5%
<br /> Average - % Level of Service 73.4% 1 73.74'a 1 715% 1 74.7°/, 77 .7% 78.7% 80.3% 80.4% 81 .4,5 82.5%
<br /> Annual Staderd Growth Rat (3) 1 .S%% 6181%1 2.4SX -4.6ml 41.19% -0.04%1 0.40% oft3% 1 1 .62% Im% 1 0.11% 1 1 .UM
<br /> mk$dr rchool e3 opens in fvi 2006 wmi 700 aCmoonai seam
<br /> OCS Student Projections (' )
<br /> High
<br /> School Year 2000-01 2001 -02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005.06 2006-07 200748 200609 2009.10 2010=11 201142 201243 2013.14 2014.15 2015,16
<br /> Actual 1 ,672 1 .753 1 ,828 1 , 887 2,057 2. 124
<br /> Tischler izj 2, 162 2 2 2 284 2 325 2 366 2 406 2,447 2 488 2 529
<br /> OC Planning 2, 160 2 198 2 2 279 2 322 2 ,366 2 ,411 2,457 2 504 2 552
<br /> 10 Year Growth 2 138 2 061 2031 1 953 1 ,913 1 940 1 916 11998 2 047 2 ,073
<br /> 5 Year Growth 2 170 2 150 2 152 2 087 2 O57 2,089 2 ,061 2 150 2 190 2 206
<br /> 3 Year Growth 2 147 2 130 2 145 2 094 2 074 2, 118 2, 100 2,202 2 250 2 .271
<br /> Average 2 1 SS 211 2 162 2 139 2 138 2 176 2 179 2,251 1 2 296 2 326
<br /> Annual Chanae - Increase Decrease in Actual 6 Projected Membership) 81 75 59 170 67 31 13 38 3 72 45 30
<br /> G ci - 100% l.ewlofService 1518 1518 2516 2518 2516 518 2518 2516 2518 2518 2518 2518 518 2513 2518
<br /> Number of Student, Actual and Projected Over Under 100% LOS 154 235 690 631 '356 379 30C . 339 67 (222 . �2
<br /> 110% Level of Service 1 670 1 ,670 2,770 770 2 770 2394 X770 I 2 770 2 770 2.770 1 2 770 2 770 770 2770 770 2,770
<br /> Number of Student Actual and Projected Over Under 110% LOS 2 83 "942 483 43 1646 614 6J81 '63C` 432 591 '� 79' 474` '444
<br /> Actual - % Level of Service 1 110. 1 % 115.5% 1 72,6% 1 74.9% 1 81 .7% 84.4%
<br /> Average - % Level of Service85.6% 85.3% 85.9% 849% 1 86.4% 1 86.5% 89A% 91 .2% 92.4%
<br /> Annual Student Growth Rat (3) 4.94%1 4.28%1 3.23%1 9.01%1 3.26% 1 1 ,43%1 mO,32% 1 0,62%1 el,04%1 1 .76% 1 0,14%1 3.30% 200%1 1 .32% Q
<br /> cedar Moe hch opens with 1,000 seas in fan 2002 Q
<br /> Indicates fast year that district surpasses $Ch0015 APFO recommended Level of Service Vt
<br /> 11u 0 is important to note that this reflects the November 15, 2005 date of membership as outlined in by the Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance. It does not include CHCCS students attending the HOspital School.
<br /> rzu The Tischer Model provides for the "Linear Method" of projections for both CHCCS and OCS. Original projections used in prior years projection models included the linear Extrapolation Method' for CHCCS. CD
<br /> real Annual growth rate calculated using actual membership for years 2000-01 through 2005-06 and average membership for years 2006-07 through 2015-16. ZS
<br /> c° Class saes for grades K-3 = 123 for school years 2006-07 and 2007.08. In accordance with 2005 School Collaboration Work Group direction, wrth planned opening of CHCCS Elementary #10 in school year 2008-09. K-3 class sizes for school years 2008-09 through 2015-16 reflect 1 :21 as directed by past State legislative action. This results in OCS 1--I
<br /> elementary capacity reduction (district wide) of 297 seats (decreasing from 4 , 116 [105% LOS Q 1 :23 Gass size] to 3,819 [105% LOS ® 1 :21 class size]). !-1
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