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Section II <br /> overcapacity situation at this level during the 2008 - 09 school year . In accordance with the MOU <br /> and implementing regulations , CAPS (Certificate of Adequate Public Schools) would not be <br /> issued during a period of overcapacity. This means that development approvals for new <br /> residential structures could not be made for projects expected to generate students during periods <br /> of overcapacity. <br /> Middle <br /> The previous year (2005 ) projection for November 2006 for this level was overestimated by 61 <br /> students . The actual membership increased by 20 . Over the previous six (6) years , growth <br /> decreased precipitously from 214 to 68 to 4 , to —52 and then saw modest increases on + 12 and <br /> +20 . The projection models at this level were all high due to the precipitous decrease in actual <br /> student numbers for four years followed by modest increases . This year ' s continued modest <br /> increase has pushed back the projected need for Middle School #5 by one ( 1 ) year to 201344 , <br /> last year ' s projections predicted the need for Middle School # 5 in 2012 - 13 . <br /> High School <br /> The previous year (2005 ) projection for November 2006 for this level was overestimated by 22 <br /> students . The actual membership increased by + 6 . Over the previous six (6) years , growth has <br /> varied from a high of 199 students to this years low of 6 students . Actual real estate market <br /> conditions can suppress historical and mathematical trends , which is likely the case in all three <br /> school levels within the school system . Carrboro High School is expected to open in 2007 - 08 <br /> and the projections show a need for additional High School capacity in 201647 . This new <br /> projection pushes back the need for additional capacity by two school years ; last year ' s <br /> projection showed additional capacity at this level would be needed in 201445 . Additional High <br /> School capacity is expected to be achieved by expanding Carrboro High School from 800 <br /> students to 1 , 200 students , as was included in the construction plans for the high school . <br /> 41 <br />