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Section II <br /> C . Student Projections <br /> 1 . Responsible Entity for Suggesting Change — The updating of this section will be <br /> conducted by the Planning Directors , School Representatives , Technical Advisory <br /> Committee ( SAPFOTAC) and referred to the BOCC for annual report certifications . <br /> Projections will be distributed to SAPFO partners for review and comments to the BOCC <br /> prior to certification. <br /> 2 . Definition — The result of the average of the five student projection models represented <br /> by 10 year numerical membership projections by school level (Elementary, Middle , and <br /> High) for each school district (Chapel Hill/Carrboro School District and Orange County <br /> School District) . <br /> 3 . Standard for: Standard for: <br /> Chapel Hill Carrboro School District Orange County School District <br /> The 5 model average discussed in Section II . B The 5 model average discussed in Section II . B <br /> ( Student Projection Methodology) ( Student Projection Methodology) <br /> See Attachment II . C . 4 See Attachment II . C . 3 <br /> (Note : A change in Methodology is proposed (Note : A change in Methodology is proposed <br /> — see Section II . B) — see Section II . B ) <br /> 4 . Analysis of Existing Conditions <br /> The membership figures and percentage growth on the attachments show continued <br /> growth in both systems . Variability by school level and between the School Districts is <br /> also noted . Year-by- year percent growth is shown on the attached table as well as the <br /> projected LOS . The projections models were updated using current (November 15 ) <br /> memberships . Ten years of student membership were projected thereafter . <br /> 39 <br />