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Attachment II . B . 3 <br /> Section II (page 4 of 4) <br /> Chapel Hill / Carrboro School District <br /> School Membership 2006 =2007 School Year ( November 15 , 2006 ) <br /> Statistical Findings <br /> PROJECTION TYPE ABBREVIATIONS <br /> ` TISCHLER ' LINEAR (T ) 10-YEAR COHORT ( 10C ) <br /> ORANGE COUNTY PLANNING ( OCP ) 5 -YEAR COHORT ( 5C ) <br /> 3 - YEAR COHORT ( 3C ) <br /> Elementary School Level <br /> • All projections were high by between 15 and 74 students over the actual November 15 , <br /> 2006 enrollment . The average projection was 32 students higher than the actual <br /> membership . <br /> • The membership actually increased by 101 members between November 15 , 2005 and <br /> November 15 , 2006 . <br /> Middle School Level <br /> • All projections were high by between 50 and 68 students over the actual November 15 , <br /> 2006 enrollment . The average projection was 61 students higher than the actual <br /> membership . <br /> • The membership actually increased by 20 members between November 15 , 2005 and <br /> November 15 , 2006 . <br /> High School Level <br /> • Projections were mixed ( high and low ) ranging from a low of 14 to a high of 90 . The <br /> average projection was 33 students high . <br /> • The total membership actually increased by 6 members between November 15 , 2005 <br /> and November 15 , 2006 . <br /> TOTAL <br /> • The total of all school level projections were all high by between 70 and 172 students . <br /> The average projection was high by 126 students . <br /> • The membership increased in total by 116 students , which is the sum of + 101 at <br /> Elementary , + 20 at Middle , and + 6 at High . <br /> 38 <br />