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Attachment II . B . 2 <br /> Section II (page 2 of 4 ) <br /> Orange County School District <br /> School Membership 2005 -2006 School Year ( November 15 , 2005 ) <br /> Statistical Findings <br /> PROJECTION TYPE ABBREVIATIONS <br /> TISCHLER (T ) 10 -YEAR COHORT ( 10C ) <br /> ORANGE COUNTY PLANNING ( OCP ) 5 -YEAR COHORT ( 5C ) <br /> 3 -YEAR COHORT ( 3C ) <br /> Elementary School Level <br /> • Projections were mostly high (from 32 to 75 ) but included a low projection off by of 2 <br /> ( 5C ) over the actual November 15 , 2005 membership . The average projection was 37 <br /> students higher than actual membership . <br /> • The membership actually decreased by 10 members between November 14 , 2004 and <br /> November 15 , 2005 . <br /> Middle School Level <br /> ® All projections were high ranging from being high by 9 to 37 . The average projection <br /> was 25 students higher than actual membership . <br /> • The membership actually decreased by 4 members between November 14 , 2004 and <br /> November 15 , 2005 . <br /> High School Level <br /> • Projections were mixed ( high and low ) ranging from a low of 6 to a high of 44 . The <br /> average projection was 1 student low . <br /> • The membership actually increased by 64 members between November 14 , 2004 and <br /> November 15 , 2005 . <br /> TOTAL <br /> • The total of all school level projections were high by between 11 and 111 students . The <br /> average projected was a 63 student increase . <br /> • The membership increased in total by 50 students , which is the sum of - 10 at <br /> Elementary , —4 at Middle and + 64 at High . <br /> • NC Department of Public Instruction ( NCDPI ) projected 6 , 811 (an increase of 145 ) , <br /> which is high ( i . e . overcount ) by 95 students of the actual November 15 , 2005 <br /> membership . <br /> 32 <br />