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Section II <br /> =of <br /> STUDENT MEMBERSHIP PROJECTION <br /> School District : Chapel Hill — Carrboro <br /> Year/Date Issued : WOM 12/07/2005 <br /> Year/Date Based : November . 15 , 2005 - 2006 <br /> Years Projected : 2007 -2016 <br /> A. Projection Type : Tischler Linear <br /> 1 . Projection Mathematical formula <br /> Description/ Straight line projection <br /> Characteristics : <br /> 2 . Projection Formula : y _ ((c *b ) * x)+b <br /> (y = Projected Population ; c = Historical Annual Change; b = Base Year; x = <br /> Projection Years) <br /> 3 . Projection Historical growth is reflected in projected growth <br /> Assumptions : % Elementary, Middle, and High taken from SYE 2006 and held <br /> constant throughout projection . <br /> 4 . Annual Growth Rate : 2 .45 % Note: this is an average annual growth rate over tell years <br /> 5 . Attachments : a) Projections (includes : Total , Elementary, Middle , and High) <br /> 6 . Projection Performed : By : Brian Carson Date : 12/07/2005 <br /> 7 . Projection Reviewed : By : Date : <br /> 8 . Projection Certified : <br /> 9 . Comments : <br /> 26 <br />