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Section II <br /> Attachment 11 . B . 1 <br /> (page 1 of I C <br /> STUDENT MEMBERSHIP PROJECTION <br /> School District : Orange County <br /> Year/Date Issued : 12/07/2005 <br /> Year/Date Based : November 15 , 2005 ~2006 <br /> Years Projected : 2007 -2016 <br /> A. Projection Type : Tischler Linear <br /> 1 . Projection Mathematical formula <br /> Description/ Straight line projection <br /> Characteristics : <br /> 2 . Projection Formula : y = ((c *b ) * x)+b <br /> (y = Projected Population; c = Ifistorical Annual Change; b = Base Yeai; x = <br /> Projection Years) <br /> 3 . Projection Historical growth is reflected in projected growth <br /> Assumptions : % Elementary, Middle, and High taken from SYE 2006 and held <br /> constant throughout projection . <br /> 4 . Annual Growth Rate • 1 . 77 % Note : this is an average annual growth rate over ten years <br /> 5 . Attachments : a) Projections (includes : Total, Elementary, Middle , and High) <br /> 6. Projection Performed : By : Brian Carson Date : 12/07/2005 <br /> 7. Projection Reviewed : By : Date . <br /> 8 . Projection Certified : <br /> 9 . Comments : <br /> 21 <br />