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Executive Summary <br /> D . Student Growth Rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (Change) . . . . . . . . . .Pg. 49 <br /> Average Annual Growth Rate over 10 Years <br /> Chapel Hill/Carrboro Orange County <br /> School District School District <br /> 2003 2004 2005 2006 2003 2004 2005 2006 <br /> Elementary 2 . 34% 1 . 79% 1 . 95 % 2 . 03 % 1 . 54 % 1 . 68 % 1 . 60% 1 . 49 % <br /> Middle 2 . 63 % 1 . 91 % 2 . 41 % 2 . 35 % 0 . 79 % 1 . 50 % 1 . 18 % 1 . 39 % <br /> High 2 . 81 % 2 . 04 % 1 . 95 % 2 . 04 % 1 . 28 % 1 . 2l % 0 . 92 % 0 . 99 % <br /> E . Student / Housing Generation Rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (No Change) . . . . . . .Pg. 52 <br /> Note : Orange County expects to enter into a contract with Tischler & Associates in mid 2007 <br /> which will include analyzing student generation rates and proposing updates if warranted. <br /> SCHOOL ADEQUATE PUBLIC FACILITIES ORDINANCE STATUS <br /> (based on future year Student Membership Projections) <br /> A ` Joint Action Committee ' (language used in original MOU) met in November 2005 to discuss <br /> Elementary level K- 3 class size reductions related to legislation from the North Carolina <br /> Department of Public Instruction . The Committee has recommended that capacity changes be <br /> implemented equally in both school districts the year after the next elementary school opens <br /> which is anticipated to be CHCCS Elementary School # 10 in 2008 - 09 . When the reduced class <br /> size capacities go into effect, the result is 262 fewer seats available in CHCCS and 228 fewer <br /> seats available in OCS . The effect of this reduction is that the need for new elementary schools <br /> is accelerated because the loss of seats represents approximately 2 to 5 years of student growth . <br /> CHAPEL HILL/CARRBORO SCHOOL DISTRICT <br /> Elementary School District <br /> A . Does not currently exceed 105 % LOS standards (current LOS is 101 . 2 %) . <br /> B . Decrease in the increase of the growth rate at this level over the next 10 years . <br /> Co Chapel Hill/Carrboro Elementary School # 10 is scheduled for a 2008 - 09 opening . <br /> However, a 2009 - 10 may be a more realistic opening date due to approvals that need to <br /> occur and construction time . If Elementary School # 10 does not open until 200940 , the <br /> result could be an overcapacity situation at this level during the 2008 - 09 school year. In <br /> accordance with the MOU and implementing regulations , CAPS (Certificate of Adequate <br /> Public Schools) would not be issued during a period of overcapacity. This generally <br /> means that development approvals for new residential developments could not be made <br /> for projects expected to generate students during periods of overcapacity. <br /> D . Due partially to reduced class size capacities going into effect in 2008 - 09 , the projections <br /> are showing a need for Elementary School # 11 in 2010 . 11 . <br /> Middle School District <br /> A . Does not currently exceed 107 % LOS standards (current LOS is 91 . 3 %) . <br /> B . Decrease in the increase of the growth rate at this level over the next 10 years . <br /> 11 <br />