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.Secu67t 1! <br />B. Student Projection 11'led)odoloby <br />1>'l.'.S1)O17.ti7171Y E7711(P,f01'.577~.F, PSrhtti C7rnagc-This section is reviewed and recon?n?ended <br />b}' titC Platltlitl' Dtrce;tors, School Represet+.tatives, '1"echnical :advisory Committee <br />bears to acietnnne unat ntontuersmp at eaen comou?w scnuui icvei teiculcuirly. ~~«-~-~< <br />and High School} which take into catsideration historical mctnbcrship totals at a snccitc <br />time (~'ovember 1~) in the school year.. These n?cthods are also known as `tnodeis'. <br />:i.. Stundurrl for: Sta)rdnrd for: <br />Cflapel Aill Carrboro School nish°ict Oranbc County School District <br />Prescnily, ilte averase of five inOdCh ere bans used: nantcly 3, ~, and 10 year <br />histor~;cohott survival methods, Uranse County Planning Department T.inear <br />Rave and 'I'isehler Linear methods Attachment TT,B I describes includes a <br />description of each model <br />d. .Analrsls ofGxistirrg C'nnditiars <br />Pcrionnance of the models is monitored each year. The value of a projection model is in its <br />prediction of"school level capacities at feast three Years in advance of capat;ity sltortialls so the. <br />•antntal Capital Tnvestrnent Plan (C1P} upchztes can respond proactively with siting, desien. attd <br />construction. Attachment 11..13.2 shots the pcribrntance of the models far the 200^-~ schooi <br />:car from the prior Fear projection (i.e , only a one ~~~ar projection). After which, a sunvnary o; <br />each model is provided. <br />j" IZC'CUntl)lPllrlQtfnl7 - <br />\n C'hanse Gan avow standard. <br />2_ <br />