Orange County NC Website
32 <br />Orange County, NC <br />Financial Plan and Rate Study for Solid Waste Enterprise Fund <br />Year was used as the basis for forecasting expenses for the 5 -year forecast (FY 2016- <br />17 to FY 2020 -21). <br />• Develop Revenue Requirement Projection — After developing the revenue <br />requirement for the Test Year, SCS worked with County staff to project changes in <br />anticipated costs due to inflation, labor increases, facility and vehicle maintenance, <br />planning costs, etc. This resulted in a 5 -year revenue requirement forecast for the <br />entire sanitation program including collection, recycling, disposal of solid waste, <br />public education, etc. <br />• Revenue Offsets — SCS worked with County staff to identify revenue sources and <br />develop estimates for the sale of recyclables, C &D permit revenues, C &D tipping <br />fees, mulch and compost sales, LFG recovery, etc. <br />• Determination of the Number of Customer Units — SCS worked with County staff to <br />develop reasonable estimates of future number of customers over the next 5 -year <br />period. <br />• Calculation of the Annual County Solid Waste Programs Assessed Fee — SCS <br />distributed the revenue needs across the four Divisions to estimate the cost of service <br />and calculate the annual Program Fee needed to balance the budget. <br />Appendices D and E identify projected revenues and expenses, respectively, by service area used <br />in the Model for the Department for FY 2016 -17 through FY 2020 -21. <br />2.1.7 Model Scenarios <br />SCS developed seven Rate Model scenarios to evaluate impacts to the Enterprise Fund financial <br />situation over the 5 -year planning period. Depending on the individual scenario, the Model <br />assesses net revenue needs if the Program Fee, other revenues, and operating costs equal those in <br />the Budget for FY 2016 -17 with inflation factors applied, known capital items accounted for, and <br />other adjustments made to specific line items as detailed in Appendix C: <br />• Scenarios 1 through 3 — Scenario 1 assumes status quo for the Department Solid <br />Waste Program Fee ($107 per year). Scenarios 2 and 3 increase the Program Fee <br />effective in FY 2016 -17 by $23 and $43, respectively, resulting in an assumed <br />Program Fee of $130 for Scenario 2 and $150 for Scenario 3. Scenario 1 is intended <br />to be used as a baseline or "Status Quo" scenario to enable comparisons of Scenarios <br />2 through 7. <br />• Scenario 4 — This scenario serves as an assessment of the required increase in the <br />Program Fee to balance projected operating expenses and revenues for solid waste <br />and recycling services. Scenario 4 assumes the Program Fee balances the Fund's <br />annual budget if other revenues and operating costs equal those projected in the <br />Budget for FY 2016 -17, dependent on the sub - scenario. This iteration serves as a <br />"break- even" analysis. <br />EM <br />