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<br /> Comprehensive Review of <br /> S olid W aste Collection and Disposal Options <br /> <br />v2.1 98 10/22/12 <br />7.1.2 Projected 2 0 -Year Di sposal Needs <br />7.1.2.1 Population and Disposal Quantity Projections <br />SCS evaluated the projected MSW disposal requirements for a Town-only and regional transfer <br />station over the next 20 years. The projections take into account the projected changes in <br />population during this period. The projected population changes for the Town between now and <br />2035 are presented in Exhibit 7-1. <br /> <br />Exhibit 7 -1. Population Projections, Town of Chapel Hill <br /> <br />Year <br />Population <br />Estimates <br />% Change <br />Per Year* <br />2000 48,715 <br />2010 57,233 <br />2015 65,748 2.98% <br />2025 77,767 2.39% <br />2035 80,483 1.62% <br /> <br />Source: See Report Section 2.1.4.1 <br />*Based on 2010 <br /> <br />The MSW disposal rates were projected based on a 1.62% per year increase for both the Town- <br />only and the regional transfer station options. A further refinement on the regional population <br />growth trends could be considered, but for the purpose of this evaluation, the same growth rate <br />was used for the Town and Region analysis. The yearly projected MSW quantities for a Town- <br />only and regional transfer station beginning in FY 2014-15 and extending through FY 2033-34 <br />are presented in Exhibit 7-2. This exhibit does not include solid waste program changes that <br />could ultimately reduce the quantity of MSW requiring delivery to a transfer station (and <br />transport to an ultimate disposal facility); therefore, the estimated disposal rates presented are <br />conservative. <br />