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Appendix E <br />Demand for Land <br />Based on historic growth trends, the demand for undeveloped land to <br />accommodate residential growth in the County's Transition Areas can be <br />estimated. It has been estimated that there will be an annual demand of 158 <br />acres to accommodate 315 housing units i.e. 2 units /acre) in the County's <br />Transition Areas. <br />Table 2 provides the data and process used to estimate the demand for land <br />within the County's Transition Areas. <br />Table 2 <br />Orange County Transition Areas <br />Population Growth and Demand for Land <br />OC 2003 Population <br />125,600 <br />Annual Growth Rate <br />2.50% <br />Annual Population Increase <br />3,125 <br />Hill /Carrboro /Hillsborou h <br />1,844(59%) <br />-Chapel <br />OC Planning Jurisdiction <br />1,281 (41% <br />OC Planning Jurisdiction Annual Housing Units 2.4 h <br />534 <br />Annual Housing units in Transition Areas (Urbanizing) <br />315(59%) <br />Annual Housing units outside Transition Areas (Rural) <br />219(41%) <br />Source: Orange County Planning and Inspections and Office of State Planning <br />Assumptions: <br />• Based on July'02 Office of State Planning Estimate, 122,526 <br />• Annual growth rate based on average of population growth rates experienced between <br />'80 -'90 and '90 -00' US Census <br />• Ratio of incorporated: unincorporated population as provided by '00 Census remains <br />constant <br />• Percentage of new housing units in Orange County's Transition Areas versus the balance <br />of the County's planning jurisdiction will mimic 2003 ratio of incorporated: unincorporated <br />population of Orange County <br />• Persons Per Household (pph), as provided by '00 Census, remains constant <br />GAComprehensive Planning Div \TAltieri \land use element \OC HLSB UTA Task Force \Draft Report\Appendix E 020105.doc <br />