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<br />iii <br /> <br />C. Similar to last year, projections are not showing a need to expand Carrboro High <br />School from the initial capacity of 800 students to the ultimate capacity of 1,200 <br />students in the 10-year projection period. <br /> <br />ORANGE COUNTY SCHOOL DISTRICT <br /> <br />Elementary School Level <br />A. Does not currently exceed 105% LOS standard (current LOS is 94.7%). <br />B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease, but remain positive over <br />the next 10 years (average ~0.58% compared to 0.72% over the past 10 years). <br />C. Similar to last year, projections are not showing a need for an additional Elementary <br />School in the 10-year projection period. <br /> <br />Middle School Level <br />A. Does not currently exceed 107% LOS standard (current LOS is 79.9%). <br />B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease, but remain positive over <br />the next 10 years (average ~0.13% compared to 0.90% over the past 10 years). <br />C. Similar to last year, projections are not showing a need for an additional Middle School <br />in the 10-year projection period. <br /> <br />High School Level <br />A. Does not currently exceed 110% LOS standard (current LOS is 100.2%). <br />B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease the next 10 years (average <br />~ -0.10% compared to 1.16% over the past 10 years). <br />C. Similar to last year, projections are not showing a need to expand Cedar Ridge High <br />School from the initial capacity of 1,000 students to 1,500 students in the 10-year <br />projection period. <br /> <br />ADDITIONAL INFORMATION <br /> <br />The Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance (SAPFO) student projections illustrate when <br />the adopted level of service capacities are forecasted to be met and/or exceeded in anticipation of <br />CIP planning and the construction of a new school. Both school districts continue planning <br />efforts to renovate and expand existing facilities to address school capacity needs in a more <br />feasible way. Additional capacity resulting from school renovations and expansions will be <br />added to the projection models in stages, once funding is approved, versus the addition of greater <br />capacity when a new school is constructed and completed. The renovation and expansion to <br />existing facilities may delay construction of new schools further into the future. This process will <br />pose some challenges to SAPFO compared to the existing process which indicates in advance <br />when a completely new school is needed. Decisions on the timing of reconstruction (i.e. capacity <br />additions) funding would be directly linked to the SAPFO model at the appropriate time. <br /> <br />SAPFO student projections for this year are not showing a need for new school construction or <br />expansion in the 10-year projection period for both school districts due to slowing student <br />growth rates. However, planned residential development in the near future may increase student <br />membership and accelerate school construction and expansion needs into the 10-year projection <br />period. Although capacity and construction needs are not identified this year, both school <br />districts face a large backlog of school capital maintenance and renovation projects that need to <br />12