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9/6/2017 <br />2 <br />1. Goals and Objectives <br />2. Socioeconomic Data (population and employment forecasts) <br />3. Deficiency Analysis <br />4. Alternatives Analysis <br />5. Preferred Option <br />6. Final MTP <br />We are Here! <br />Aug.-Oct. 2017 <br />Oct.-Dec. 2017 <br />Dec. 2017 <br />For more on these steps: <br />http://www.dchcmpo.org/programs/transport/2045mtp.asp <br />7 <br />A combination of a transportation network, which includes a set of highway, transit and other transportation improvements, and a land use scenariothat depicts the distribution of population and employment (2045). <br />Alternatives run in the Triangle Regional Model (TRM) to produce metrics that describe how well Alternatives meet future travel demand. <br />Final 2045 MTP expected to be a combination of projects and policies from the various Alternatives. <br />8 <br />2045 <br />Land Use <br />Scenario <br />Transportation <br />Network Alternative <br />CommPlan: based on <br />comprehensive land use plan and policies. <br />AIM High: More density <br />and mixed use at future <br />rail station areas. <br />Highway (no fiscal <br />constraint) <br />Transit (no fiscal constraint) <br />Moderate: hybrid of <br />highway and transit <br />Four different Alternatives being <br />reviewed. <br />Final planwill be <br />hybrid of the <br />Alternatives <br />www.bit.ly/DCHC-MTP-Alternatives <br />9 <br />Land Use <br />SE Data Guide Totals* <br />County 201320452013‐45 % change <br />Chatham*41,543        72,11030,56774% <br />Durham286,210      475,091188,88166% <br />Orange139,289      194,86755,57840% <br />Total467,042     742,068    275,026     59% <br />County 201320452013‐45 % change <br />Chatham*9,339          17,718       8,379           90% <br />Durham192,877      342,910     150,033      78% <br />Orange64,212        107,791     43,579        68% <br />Total266,428     468,419    201,991     76% <br />* Only includes portion of Chatham County in the modeling area. <br />Population <br />Employment <br />Steady population <br />growth. <br />Employment <br />growth outpaces <br />population growth. <br />10 <br />Triangle Regional Model Output <br />Performance Measures <br />Travel  Isochrones <br />Travel  Time <br />Congestion Maps (V/C) <br />Performance Measures ‐‐ DCHC MPO <br />SE Data 201020402040 <br />Transportation Network 2010E+C2035 <br />1 Performance Measures <br /> 1.1.1Total Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT‐daily)13,217,550 20,368,697 20,581,822     <br /> 1.1.1aTotal Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT‐per capita 33               32               33                    <br /> 1.2.1Total Vehicle Hours Traveled (VHT‐daily)312,669      581,776      536,746       <br /> 1.2.1aTotal Vehicle Hours Traveled (VHT‐per capita 0.77            0.92            0.85             <br /> 1.3 Average Speed by Facility (miles/hour) <br />   1.3.1   ‐ Freeway63               57               61                <br />   1.3.2   ‐ Arterial 42               38               39                <br />   1.3.3   ‐ All Facility 51               47               50                <br />11 <br />Map shows 2045 population <br />and employment on the current transportation <br />network. <br />2045 No-Build – <br />Congestion Map <br />•Most major commute <br />corridors at 120% of <br />capacity or higher (I-40, <br />I-85, US 15-501, NC <br />54) <br />•Many arterial roadway <br />segments over 120%. <br />12 <br /> 26