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Table of Contents <br />2018 SAPFOTAC Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................ i <br />Introduction........................................................................................................................................................................ v <br />Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance Partners ............................................................................................... vi <br />Planning Directors/School Representatives Technical Advisory Committee ............................................................. vii <br />I. Base Memorandum of Understanding ......................................................................................................................... 1 <br />A. Level of Service ..................................................................................................................................................... 1 <br />B. Building Capacity and Membership ................................................................................................................... 2 <br />Attachment I.B.1 Orange County School Capacity (Elementary, Middle, & High) (2016-17) .............................................. 5 <br />Attachment I.B.2 Chapel Hill/Carrboro School Capacity (Elementary, Middle, & High) (2016-17)........................................... 8 <br />Attachment I.B.3 Orange County School Capacity (Elementary, Middle, & High) (2017-18) .................................................. 11 <br />Attachment I.B.4 Chapel Hill/Carrboro School Capacity (Elementary, Middle, & High) (2017-18)......................................... 14 <br />C. Membership Date................................................................................................................................................ 17 <br />II.Annual Update to Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance System ............................................................ 18 <br />A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) .......................................................................................................................... 18 <br />B. Student Membership Projection Methodology ................................................................................................ 19 <br />Attachment II.B.I – Student Membership Projection Descriptions............................................................................................. 20 <br />Attachment II.B.2 – Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis (2016-17) ............................................... 21 <br />Attachment II.B.3 – Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis (2017-18) ............................................... 25 <br />C. Student Membership Projections ...................................................................................................................... 29 <br />Attachment II.C.1 – Orange County Student Projections (Elementary, Middle, & High) (2016-17) ......................................... 34 <br />Attachment II.C.2 – Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Projections (Elementary, Middle, & High) (2016-17) ............................... 35 <br />Attachment II.C.3 – Orange County Student Projections (Elementary, Middle, & High) (2017-18) ......................................... 36 <br />Attachment II.C.4 – Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Projections (Elementary, Middle, & High) (2017-18) ............................... 37 <br />D. Student Membership Growth Rate ................................................................................................................... 38 <br />Attachment II.D.1 – Orange County and Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Growth Rates <br />(Chart dates from 2017-2027 based on 11/14/16 membership numbers) (2016-17) .................................................................. 39 <br />Attachment II.D.2 – Orange County and Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Growth Rates <br />(Chart dates from 2018-2028 based on 11/15/17 membership numbers) (2017-18) .................................................................. 40 <br />E. Student / Housing Generation Rate .................................................................................................................. 41 <br />Attachment II.E.1 – Current Student Generation Rates (2015) .................................................................................................. 43 <br />III.Flowchart of Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance Process .......................................................... 44 <br />A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) (Process 1) ....................................................................................................... 44 <br />Attachment III.A.1 – Process 1 Capital Improvement Plan ........................................................................................................ 45 <br />B. Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance Certificate of Adequate Public Schools (CAPS) <br />Update (Process 2) .............................................................................................................................................. 46 <br />Attachment III.B.1 – Process 2 Certificate of Adequate Public Schools (CAPS) Allocation ..................................................... 47 <br />9