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Section II <br /> 38 <br /> <br /> <br />D. Student Membership Growth Rate <br /> <br />1. Responsible Entity for Suggesting Change – The updating of this section will be <br />conducted by the Planning Directors, School Representatives, and Technical <br />Advisory Committee (SAPFOTAC) each year and referred to the BOCC for annual <br />report certification. Projections will be distributed to SAPFO partners for review and <br />comments to the BOCC prior to certification. <br />2. Definition – The annual percentage growth rate calculated from the projections <br />resulting from the average of the five models represented by 10 year numerical <br />membership projections by school level for each school district. This does not <br />represent the year-by- year growth rate that may be positive or negative, but rather the <br />average of the annual anticipated growth rates over the next 10 years. <br />3. Standard for: Standard for: <br />Chapel Hill/Carrboro School District Orange County School District <br />See Attachment II.D.2 See Attachment II.D.2 <br />4. Analysis of Existing Conditions: Analysis of Existing Conditions: <br />Chapel Hill/Carrboro School District Orange County School District <br />The membership figures and percentage growth on the <br />attachments show continued growth at each school level <br />within the system. <br /> <br />Projected Average Annual Growth Rate over next <br />ten years: <br />The membership figures and percentage growth on the <br />attachments show continued growth at each school level <br />within the system. <br /> <br />Projected Average Annual Growth Rate over next <br />ten years: <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />5. Recommendation: Recommendation: <br />Chapel Hill/Carrboro School District Orange County School District <br />Use statistics as noted. Use statistics as noted. <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Year Projection <br />Made: <br />2013- <br />2014 <br />2014- <br />2015 <br />2015- <br />2016 <br />2016- <br />2017 <br />2017- <br />2018 <br />Elementary 1.44% 1.11% 0.92% 0.91% 0.36% <br />Middle 1.58% 1.15% 0.82% 0.95% 0.21% <br />High 1.27% 1.22% 0.93% 0.72% 0% <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Year Projection <br />Made: <br />2013- <br />2014 <br />2014- <br />2015 <br />2015- <br />2016 <br />2016- <br />2017 <br />2017- <br />2018 <br />Elementary 1.30% 0.55% 0.80% 0.51% 0.58% <br />Middle 1.42% 0.09% 0.67% 0.36% 0.13% <br />High 1.35% 0.39% 0.56% 0.22% -0.1% <br /> <br />54