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Section II <br /> 30 <br /> <br /> <br />Chapel Hill/Carrboro School District <br /> <br />Elementary <br />The previous year (2016-17) projections for November 2017 at this level were overestimated by <br />83 students. The actual membership decreased by 45 students. Over the previous ten years, this <br />level has shown varying increases in growth rates including a decrease in actual membership in <br />2009-10 which was most likely due to the shorter enrollment period caused by the institution of <br />the new date requiring kindergarteners to be five years old. Following that dip, membership <br />numbers experienced an increase each year with a significant jump (168 students) in 2011-12 <br />before experiencing a decrease in 2014-15, 2015-16, and this school year. Growth rates during <br />the past ten years have ranged from -1.57% to +3.88%. The district’s eleventh elementary <br />school, Northside Elementary School, opened in 2013. The need for an additional elementary <br />school is not anticipated in the 10-year projection period. This is similar to last year’s <br />projections. <br /> <br />Although not included in SAPFO school capacity or membership numbers, Pre-K programs <br />continue to impact operations at District elementary schools where Pre-K programs exist. <br />Specific impacts of Pre-K programs at the elementary school level will continue to be reviewed <br />and discussed in the coming year. <br /> <br />Middle <br />The previous year (2016-17) projections for November 2017 for this level were overestimated by <br />14 students. The actual membership increased by 4 students. Over the previous ten years, this <br />level has shown varying increases before experiencing a decrease in 2015-16 and 2016-17. <br />Growth rates during this time period have ranged from -0.59% to +2.86%. Capacity was <br />increased in 2014 with the opening of the Culbreth Middle School science wing. The need for an <br />additional middle school is not anticipated in the 10-year projection period. This is similar to last <br />year’s projections. <br /> <br />High School <br />The previous year (2016-17) projections for November 20176 for this level were underestimated <br />by 95 students. The actual membership increased by 165 students. Over the previous ten years, <br />change has been variable with decreases in membership in five of the ten years. Growth rates <br />during this time period have ranged from -1.74 to +3.27%. The need for additional high school <br />46