Orange County NC Website
conservation need and provided a detailed array of <br />management opportunities and approaches for part- <br />ner- based, strategic conservation. <br />In recognition of the potential impacts of climate <br />change on important North Carolina wildlife species <br />and habitats, the NCWRC is preparing for a revi- <br />sion of the NC WAP. This revision is intended to <br />highlight the special conservation issues associated <br />with projected regional climatic shifts, and provide <br />a critical first step towards safeguarding wildlife and <br />habitats from climate change. However, given the <br />complexity of climate change science, the breadth <br />and depth of stakeholder groups who have been <br />involved in the NC WAP, and the diversity of <br />academics, NGOs, as well as state and federal agen- <br />cies who are currently working on climate change <br />issues in the region and state, the NCWRC identi- <br />fied a clear need for a review of the state of climate <br />change science and potential impacts on species and <br />habitats specific to North Carolina. <br />This report provides a comprehensive and up -to -date <br />review of climate change science relevant to the state <br />of North Carolina, the potential vulnerability of wild- <br />life and their habitats, and the options for response <br />through conservation planning, adaptive manage- <br />ment, strategies, and actions. Although decreasing <br />greenhouse gas mission will be critical for reducing <br />the severity of climate change impacts, this report <br />focuses on adaptation rather than mitigation, in an <br />effort to provide guidance for updating the NC WAP. <br />As each chapter provides a standalone component of <br />specific elements of climate change in the state, read- <br />ers may benefit from reading the report from start to <br />finish or individually by chapter depending on their <br />current level of understanding and potential applica- <br />tion of the available science. Collectively, this report <br />provides a general overview of available climate <br />science (how do we know what we know), as well as <br />a synthesis of the fundamental process for projected <br />shifts in temperature, precipitation, hydrology, and <br />sea level rise. In addition, we provide maps and a <br />review of the fundamental ecological principles that <br />underlie potential climate change impacts on natural <br />systems. We then use that analysis to identify poten- <br />tial impacts of projected shifts on species and habitats <br />in the southeast and North Carolina. The potential <br />impacts of climate change on species and habitats are <br />also reviewed through the lens of synergistic threats <br />such as alternative energy development and land use <br />change. Finally, we outline a template for effective <br />conservation planning, adaptive management, and <br />adaptive management considerations in the face of <br />climate change. Each of these topics is covered in 5 <br />chapters and appendices described below: <br />In Chapter 1, we provide a review of the fundamen- <br />tal components of climate change science, such as <br />climate modeling, functional and physical impacts <br />on wildlife and habitat, and vulnerability. This <br />review can serve as a baseline for understanding the <br />latest climate science as well as provide a framework <br />for thinking about how wildlife species and habitats <br />may respond to climatic shifts. <br />In Chapter 2, we describe some of the projections of <br />temperature, precipitation, and sea level rise in the <br />southeast under climate change, and highlight the <br />available research on potential impacts to terrestrial <br />and aquatic species. <br />In Chapter 3, we apply climate modeling scenarios to <br />map state - specific projected temperature and precip- <br />itation changes, and use this information to identify <br />a broad subset of species and habitats in North Caro- <br />lina that may be particularly susceptible to climate <br />change impacts in the state. <br />UT <br />