Orange County NC Website
between development and highly valued natural <br />resources under historical growth patterns and a <br />conservation scenario based on the Green Growth <br />Toolbox (GGT) developed by NCWRC. Maps <br />comparing projected development patterns produced <br />using GGT recommendations with projected devel- <br />opment patterns projected from historical trends <br />differed significantly over a 25 -year period. Incor- <br />porating GGT recommendations into development <br />planning for the entire state of North Carolina <br />reduced overlap with conservation priority areas by <br />as much as75% (RENCI at UNC Charlotte 2009). <br />An example from Cabarrus County, in which conser- <br />vation conflicts were reduced by approximately 50% <br />under the GGT conservation planning scenario, is <br />shown in Figure 4 -6. <br />4, I.2 ' pert,/ /itr1 /}(%t <;' / .a11Gll <;e,, <br />Recommendations for climate change adaptation <br />strategies frequently include expanding protected <br />area networks and connectivity as top priorities <br />(Heller and Zavaleta 2009, Lawler 2009, Mawds- <br />ley et al. 2009), in part to address issues related to <br />species range shifts under climate change. As condi- <br />tions change, some plant and animal populations will <br />be unable to persist in their current locations, but <br />they may be able to disperse into more suitable loca- <br />tions. However, barriers created by human devel- <br />opment (see map of urban imperviousness, Figure <br />4 -4) may make it difficult for many species to follow <br />Figure 4 -6. Maps of Cabarrus County showing projected growth under historical growth patterns and using <br />a conservation scenario based on the Green Growth Toolbox framework. The same amount of development <br />occurs under each scenario, but conflicts with priority conservation areas are reduced by 49% under the GGT <br />(RENCI at UNC Charlotte, used with permission). <br />