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CFE agenda 091117
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CFE agenda 091117
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9/11/2017
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Regular Meeting
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Agenda
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CFE minutes 091117
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\Advisory Boards and Commissions - Active\Commission for the Environment\Minutes\2017
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Table 2 -4 (continued). Studies modeling impacts of climate change on hydrology at the basin -scale (A) and <br />examples specific to the Southeast (B). <br />B. Examples from the Southeast <br />Author(s) GCM(s) Study period Hydrological Results <br />Study basin model <br />Oi et al. (2009) HadCMSu12; CGC1 2100 PRMS1 Increasing streamflow and ET under HadC- <br />North Carolina MSu12; Decreasing streamflow and ET under <br />(Coastal Plain) CGC1 <br />Sun et al. (2000) HadCM2 2100 <br />North Carolina <br />(Coastal Plain) <br />Amatya et al. (2006) CGC1; HadCM2 2001 -2025 <br />North Carolina <br />(Coastal Plain) <br />PnET-III Increased drainage of 6 %, increased ET of <br />8.7 %, increased and forest productivity of <br />2.5% <br />DRAINWAT' Decreased drainage outflow and increased <br />ET under CGC1; Outflow unchanged but <br />increased ET under HadCM2 <br />Tu (2009) CGCM3.1 2005 -2024 AVGWLF4 Increased streamflow in late fall and winter, <br />Massachusetts decreased streamflow in summer and early <br />fall. Lower impact on annual streamflow <br />Lu et al. (2006) <br />Fixed scenarios 2003, 2004 <br />South Carolina <br />(incr. temperature <br />(Coastal Plain) <br />2'C; incr. precipi- <br />tation 10 %) <br />Lu et al (2009) <br />Fixed scenarios 1992 -1996 <br />Florida (Flatwoods) <br />(incr. temperature <br />2'C; incr. precipi- <br />tation 10 %) <br />MIKE SHE' Decreased water table and streamflow <br />under warmer temperatures and increased <br />precipitation <br />MIKE SHE' Decreased water table levels especially <br />during dry periods. PET increased under <br />higher temperature scenario <br />
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