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Recent modeling efforts have provided support for <br />the importance of biotic interactions on individ- <br />ual species distributions at macroecological scales <br />(Araujo and Luoto 2007, Heikkinen et al. 2007), <br />but whether these results are generally representa- <br />tive of a wide range of species remains an open ques- <br />tion. Associations between these factors may emerge <br />based on life history traits or trophic status (Berg et <br />al. 2010). For example, the ability of specialists to <br />expand their ranges may be limited by the disper- <br />sal ability of host or prey species, whereas generalist <br />species will not face such constraints. <br />Climate sensitivity may vary across trophic levels, <br />with higher -level predator communities being more <br />sensitive than producers (Voigt et al. 2003). This <br />response may be due, at least in part, to differences <br />in physiologic responses to climate change across <br />trophic levels. For example, development rates of <br />insects may be more sensitive to temperature than <br />those of their plant food sources (Bale et al. 2002), <br />resulting in increased herbivory intensity as a conse- <br />quence of higher growth rates and reduced generation <br />time in insect herbivores. In grasshoppers, changes in <br />temperature influence resource acquisition, ultimate- <br />ly affecting the intensity of intraspecific competition <br />(Laws and Belovsky 2010). As responses to climate <br />change become increasingly apparent across biologi- <br />cal systems (Parmesan and Yohe 2003, Root et al. <br />2003), it may well be the range and variability of <br />species- specific responses that poses the greatest chal- <br />lenge to efforts to maintain ecological structure and <br />function similar to that of present ecological systems. <br />7_23 "ol fec,/e, arP(l E cartY! ;t,errr Vr /rlerah///t,} <br />Vulnerability refers to the degree to which an ecologi- <br />cal community or individual species is likely to expe- <br />rience harm due to exposure to perturbations or <br />stresses. Species or ecosystem vulnerability to climate <br />change is a function of three variables: exposure, or <br />the degree to which a system or species is exposed to <br />climate change and variability, sensitivity to these <br />changes, and the species or ecosystems' adaptive <br />capacity to respond to these changes as well as the <br />strategies practitioners implement to help the species <br />or system adapt (IPCC 2007, Williams et al. 2008). <br />Specific factors that influence the vulnerability of <br />species or ecosystems to climate change may include <br />biological and physiological traits that make a species <br />particularly sensitive to climate changes, the adap- <br />tive capacity of the species, barriers to dispersal, high <br />exposure or sensitivity to specific climate impacts <br />because of distribution or biological factors, the pace <br />and magnitude of climate change, or exposure to <br />existing or future non - climate threats such as land use <br />change. In a recent guide, Glick and Stein (20 10) <br />provide an in -depth review and guidance on the use <br />of vulnerability assessments in conservation planning. <br />Exposure relates to short -term or long -term the <br />degree of climate stress in a particular region. From <br />a species or habitat perspective, exposure may <br />include areas exposed to sea -level rise, or changes in <br />precipitation and temperature. In some cases, local <br />microhabitat buffering may reduce exposure. For <br />example, some species may be buffered from climate <br />changes by living in a thermally sheltered microhabi- <br />tat under logs or in a cool ravine alongside a stream. <br />Sensitivity is a measure of how a species or ecosystem <br />responds or changes in relation to climatic condi- <br />tions. Species or ecosystems that are more sensi- <br />tive to changes in climate may experience dramatic <br />shifts in distribution or population size in response <br />to only slight increases or decreases in temperature <br />and precipitation. Sensitivity will be determined by <br />intrinsic factors including ecological, genetic and <br />physiological traits (Table 1 -2). <br />The combination of exposure and sensitivity deter- <br />mine the potential impact of climate change on <br />an ecosystem or species, which is then modified <br />by the species' or ecosystem's adaptive capacity <br />and the capacity of humans to manage, adapt and <br />minimize climate change impacts (Williams et al. <br />2008). Adaptive capacity refers to the intrinsic <br />