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ClimateProgress <br />Significantly, the $7.8 trillion investment in renewables and ongoing price drops are all just what BNEF <br />expects to happen on our current path. It's "business as usual." It does not assume the world embraces the <br />policies needed to drive the investments necessary to stabilize below the 2 °C (3.6 °F), as the nations of the <br />world have unanimously agreed to do in Paris last December. In the below -2 degrees Celsius scenario, "the <br />world would need to invest another $5.3 trillion in zero - carbon power by 2040." <br />Also, given how increasingly cost competitive solar and wind are on their own over the next decade or two, the <br />trend to put a price on carbon in a growing number of countries around the world means that, for those nations, <br />renewables will be competitive even sooner. <br />Capacity Factors Go Wild <br />BNEF explains that one of the "massive shifts coming soon to power markets" is: "Capacity Factors Go Wild." <br />The capacity factor is the "percentage of a power plant's maximum potential that's actually achieved over <br />time." <br />50% <br />40%. <br />301%, <br />2'01% <br />to <br />0% <br />tON) <br />(jxr,rrraara'r,age of ft, nwaxirrrum rated <br />capacity tlhat's ac"Nevu Over^ tfknn ) <br />t dt t W, t J2 JIttr 4000 20041 2006 IV' 2 12ttt 02 <br />Wind, for instance, "varies in strength with the time of day, weather, and the seasons." That means "a project <br />that can crank out 100 megawatt hours of electricity during the windiest times might produce just 30 percent of <br />that when averaged out over a year." That would be a 30 percent capacity factor. <br />3 <br />http: / /thi n kprogress.org /cl imate/ 2016 /06/13/ 3787700 /coal - gas - plants- cheap - renewables/ <br />