Orange County NC Website
Short Answers to Hard <br />Questions About Climate Change <br />By Justin Gillis, New York Times November 28, 2015 <br />The issue can be overwhelming. The science is complicated. Predictions about the fate of the <br />planet carry endless caveats and asterisks. <br />We get it. And so, as the Paris climate talks get underway, we've provided quick answers to <br />often -asked questions about climate change. You can submit your own questions here. <br />1. How much is the planet heating up? <br />1.7 degrees is actually a significant amount. <br />As of this October, the Earth had warmed by about 1.7 degrees Fahrenheit since 1880, <br />when tracking began at a global scale. That figure includes the surface of the ocean. The <br />warming is greater over land, and greater still in the Arctic and parts of Antarctica. <br />The number may sound low, but as an average over the surface of an entire planet, it is <br />actually high, which explains why much of the land ice on the planet is starting to melt <br />and the oceans are rising at an accelerating pace. The heat accumulating in the Earth <br />because of human emissions is roughly equal to the heat that would be released by <br />400,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs exploding across the planet every day. <br />Scientists believe most and probably all of the warming since 1950 was caused by the <br />human release of greenhouse gases. If emissions continue unchecked, they say the global <br />warming could ultimately exceed 8 degrees Fahrenheit, which would transform the planet <br />and undermine its capacity to support a large human population. <br />2. How much trouble are we in? <br />For future generations, big trouble. <br />The risks are much greater over the long run than over the next few decades, but the <br />emissions that create those risks are happening now. Over the coming 25 or 30 years, <br />scientists say, the climate is likely to resemble that of today, although gradually getting <br />warmer. Rainfall will be heavier in many parts of the world, but the periods between <br />rains will most likely grow hotter and therefore drier. The number of hurricanes and <br />typhoons may actually fall, but the ones that do occur will draw energy from a hotter <br />ocean surface, and therefore may be more intense, on average, than those of the past. <br />Coastal flooding will grow more frequent and damaging. <br />Longer term, if emissions continue to rise unchecked, the risks are profound. Scientists <br />fear climate effects so severe that they might destabilize governments, produce waves of <br />refugees, precipitate the sixth mass extinction of plants and animals in Earth's history, <br />and melt the polar ice caps, causing the seas to rise high enough to flood most of the <br />world's coastal cities. <br />