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Approved 11/15/17 156 Alex Castro asked if the model is just used by the region. 157 158 Andy Henry confirmed this. He said that there is a statewide model but it just does the main roads. Regions use the 159 statewide model to help inform the goings -on outside of the model area regarding trends and changes. 160 161 Heidi Perry asked if Mr. Henry has looked at previous projections to see how they played out. 162 163 Andy Henry said that he had not done this but that an intern could help with this sort of research. He continued his 164 presentation and discussed conclusions from the alternatives. He said that Orange County will continue to have brisk 165 employment growth and will attract employers and commuters from the outlying counties. The alternatives show 166 significant improvements in travel in the "no build" scenario, but there is still quite a bit of congestion. Travel time will 167 increase even with roadway improvements beyond the budget. The alternatives applied to the model include 168 improvements to highway and transit projects, more than is allocated in the budget, but congestion would still not 169 come down to today's levels. Mr. Henry discussed the next part in the presentation and said that in regard to transit 170 investments in light rail on a regional level, sometimes it is hard to detect movement in mode share. A closer look to 171 areas around rail and transit lines and rail stations shows that there are significant mode shifts, especially in walking 172 and biking (increase 3 or 4 times). This can get deluded in performance measures for the whole region, but 173 investment in specific areas makes a big difference. 174 175 Alex Castro asked about how "non- motorized" was defined. Light rail and other transit have motors. 176 177 Andy Henry clarified that non - motorized refers to bicycling and walking. The reason he used this language was 178 because the model does not distinguish the two. He will take this wording out in future presentations and just say 179 walking and bicycling and refer to pedestrians. He continued with his presentation and discussed high density and 180 mixed land uses in rail station areas increases non - motorized modes and increases travel time. He said that when 181 the team ran different alternatives with a more intense land use — "aim high" - and the same transportation network, 182 the "aim high" had improvements across the board with less congestion and fewer miles traveled, better mode shift to 183 bicycling and walking. 184 185 Alex Castro asked how multi -modal journeys were considered as an element. Is the last mile and first mile types of 186 approach used? For example, Heidi might bike to the train station, put her bike on the train, when she gets there, she 187 goes back on a bike. 188 189 Andy Henry said that he is not sure but there sometimes performance measures will count each mode and in some 190 ways, only the main travel mode will be counted. He said that Mr. Castro makes a good point that there is a 191 difference in multi - modal. This dynamic works with number of trips as well. If someone drives to a transit station, gets 192 on transit, and gets off and walks, there are 3 modes and 3 trips. 193 194 Heidi Perry asked if driving to the transit station counts as a mode. 195 196 Andy Henry answered that usually transit is just counted but that the drive is counted in other ways as different trips. 197 198 Art Menius asked if Mr. Henry had maps for the 4 alternatives. 199 200 Andy Henry replied that he does and noted a link to a webpage (bottom of the page, end of presentation) for the MTP 201 which shows the interactive maps in the deficiency analysis. There are also maps in the alternatives section. 202 203 Heidi Perry said that she had a question regarding the way transit is counted. If a person drives to a transit station, 204 the presumption is that the person will get on transit, likely the bus. If this travel is only counted for transit, is it not a 205 false statement that this travel frees -up traffic on the road? Are cars being counted as cars? 206 I