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5 <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Community Services- graphs <br />• Growth varies by individual program, ranging from 0‐5%, with net growth of 3.5% FY <br />2019‐20 throughFY2027‐28; assumes solid waste contribution continues at $1.0M <br />General Government-graphs <br />• Average annual growth of 3.3% FY 2018‐19 through FY 2027‐28; close fit to long‐term <br />trend <br />Public Safety-graphs <br />• Average annual growth of 3.4% FY 2018‐19 through FY 2027‐28; 3.5% growth is in‐ <br />between short and long term trends <br /> <br />Human Services- graphs <br />• Ave. annual growth of 3.0% FY 2018‐19 through FY 2027‐28; State takeover of child day <br />care in FY 2017‐18 reduces expenditure level $4M (also revenue, hence a wash); 3% <br />growth projected in line with previous growth periods <br />Education- graphs <br />• Average annual growth of 2.9% FY 2018‐19 through FY 2027‐28; assumes $3M in <br />recurring capital funded through bonds instead of pay as you go funds; growth is <br />consistent with short and long‐term trends <br />Support Services- graphs <br />• Original budget includes centralized costs for wage/benefit increases which are <br />reallocated to departments after the budget is adopted. Those reallocations are reflected <br />in the revised budget amount. <br /> <br />Debt Service <br />Projection through FY 2022‐23 based on total of: <br /> Existing debt service <br /> “Proposed CIP and GO Referendum” per Davenport debt affordability analysis (1/9/18) <br />• Assumes no less than $35M starting FY 2023‐24 <br /> This allows for up to $200M in new bonds to fund both County and Education needs <br /> <br />CIP‐Related Operating Costs <br />Tied to analysis of current CIP by county staff ($1.7M through FY 2021‐22), including: <br /> Blackwood Farm Park (starts FY 2017‐18) <br /> 911 Center improvements/backup capability (starts FY 2017‐18) <br /> Cedar Grove Community Center (starts FY 2017‐18) <br /> Southern Branch Library (starts FY 2019‐20) <br /> Twin Creek Park (starts FY 2021‐22) <br />• Assumes continued growth for future projects <br /> <br />Transfers: School Capital Projects <br />Averaged $4.4M over previous 15 years <br />• Original budget in FY 2017‐18 was zero because County substituted pay‐go with 2/3 bonds <br />• Long‐term this amount is equal to the $1.3M in projected annual Lottery revenue <br /> <br />Transfers: County Capital Projects <br />Amounts for County capital projects per CIP through FY 2021‐22, with 2% growth thereafter <br />($900K in FY 2022‐23, for pay as you go funds) <br /> <br />Transfers: All Other Funds