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Agenda - 11-20-2017 - 6-d - Durham-Chapel Hill-Carrboro Metropolitan Planning Organization 2045 Metropolitan Transportation Plan Preferred Option – Public Comment Period
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Agenda - 11-20-2017 - 6-d - Durham-Chapel Hill-Carrboro Metropolitan Planning Organization 2045 Metropolitan Transportation Plan Preferred Option – Public Comment Period
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11/16/2017 4:17:04 PM
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BOCC
Date
11/20/2017
Meeting Type
Regular Meeting
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Agenda
Agenda Item
6d
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Minutes 11-20-2017
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\Board of County Commissioners\Minutes - Approved\2010's\2017
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Land Use (Socioeconomic Data) <br /> <br />Background <br /> <br />The MPO forecasts socioeconomic data (SE Data), such as dwelling units, population and <br />employment, to the year 2045 and uses that data as a key input into the travel demand model <br />called the Triangle Regional Model, or TRM). The process starts with the 2045 guide totals, <br />which are county- level population and employment projections for the year 2045, and <br />proceeds to the Community Visualization (CommViz) model that distributes the dwelling units <br />and employment to particular parcels based on land availability and suitability. <br /> <br />The following MPO Web page provides detailed information on the methodologies used for the <br />guide totals and CommViz modeling process, as well as maps showing the projected population <br />and employment distribution: http://bit.ly/DCHC-MTP-LandUse <br /> <br />Guide Totals <br /> <br />The MPO establishes the 2045 county-level population and employment to calculate the <br />growth that the CommViz model process will distribute. The population is based on estimates <br />and projections from the N.C. Office of State Budget and Management, and the employment <br />projection is based on a private service from Woods-and-Poole Economics. The employment <br />current employment estimate is based on employer data from InfoUSA that is verified and <br />updated by local planners. The following table provides the guide totals: <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Page 6 <br />Technical Committee 10/25/2017 Item 5 23
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