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Orange County Transfer of Development Rights Feasibility Study <br />DRAFT Economic Feasibility Report <br />The balance of supply and .demand in a TDR program is a critical step in structuring a <br />successful program, The supply and demand is a direct result of the key elements of the <br />program: Sending and Receiving Area locations and sizes; density bonuses; TDR <br />allocation rates; and other factors, An analysis was performed of the supply and <br />demand from the three Sending and Receiving Area scenarios developed by the TDR <br />Task Force (see Figure I, and results are shown in Table 1,) <br />The results can vary significantly depending on the TDR allocation rates, density bonus, <br />and expected participation rate used. For the analysis, a spreadsheet model was <br />designed to facilitate different "what if" scenarios reFlecting the different values for the <br />key variables, These assumptions can be altered to develop three or more alternatives <br />that demonstrate different objectives or assumptions. This will generate feedback and <br />assist in selecting the preferred alternative, The assumptions are defined later and <br />shown in Table 2. <br />Figure 1. Receiving (1) and Sending Area (3) Scenarios. <br />~~ <br /> ~ <br /> <br />~ ~~«~ <br />-- y <br /> ~ ]~ <br /> <br />a <br />~' i <br />RECEIVINGAREA <br />$ENDINGAREA Z <br />Y <br />~` :: <br />t v <br />l ~;, <br />l <br />'S...+~~ <br />V"i <br />•t3;'. .. r3 <br />fw J' <.x , r~ <br />5 ;:",y <br />,. ,?.y`ti I ;. <br />$ENOINGAREAB <br />Methodology <br />The amount of eligible sending area credits in the three different scenarios was <br />calculated using parcel-level tax data, zoning designations, and maps of the sending <br />areas. Utilizing GIS, these three different data layers were combined to form a <br />descriptive database of the properties within the sending areas. The properties with <br />development potential were then selected. These properties are either vacant or consist <br />of one structure located on a parcel that is large enough to be subdivided into additional <br />lots (e,g., one house on a 100-acre property), Once these properties were selected, a <br />TDR allocation rate of one TDR credit per acre was applied to estimate the total TDR <br />supply, <br />The expected TDR demand was calculated in the spreadsheet model in multiple steps. <br />Using the GIS parcel database, the properties in the receiving area with developable <br />area were selected. These properties were either vacant or had one structure with <br />additional land that could be subdivided, The next step was to categorize these <br />properties by zoning district and calculate the maximum allowable density as of right, <br />15 <br />67.2006 <br />.SENDlNGARFA 1 <br />