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m <br />Support for the Education Bond Referendum . <br />Respondents were asked if the would support an education bond referendum at five <br />different levels: $85 million, $75 million, $65 million, $55 million and $45 million. <br />At the lowest level, $45 million, 69.3 % percent of the respondents say they will vote <br />for the referendum. At each level, women are more likely than men to vote for the <br />bond, as are residents of the Chapel Hill/Carrboro district over Orange County <br />residents, and blacks over whites. It should be noted, however, that due to the small <br />number of black respondents, projections from these data should be made cautiously. <br />Respondents who have not had children in the systems and those who currently do <br />show consistently stronger support for the bond than do parents of former students at <br />each level, suggesting that those who have not had children foresee the most personal <br />gain in the bond. <br />Support at: <br />Parents <br />Parents <br />Total <br />of current <br />of former <br />Neither <br />(n= 401) <br />(n =97) <br />(n =84) <br />(n =206) <br />$45 million <br />69.3% <br />74.2% <br />53.6% <br />74.3% <br />$55 million <br />59.4% <br />62.9% <br />40.5% <br />66.0% 1 <br />$65 million <br />52.9% <br />54.6% <br />38.1% <br />59.2% <br />$75 million <br />41.1% <br />44.3% <br />29.8% <br />44.7% <br />$85 million <br />37.2% <br />40.2% <br />29.8% <br />39.3% <br />There is a strong negative correlation between the percent who favor the referendum <br />and the amount of the bond (r= -.99). Based on this correlation, the percent who <br />favor the referendum were plotted against the amount of the bond and a least squares <br />prediction line was drawn. The equation for the regression line is: <br />y = 105.6 - .825x <br />where y = Approval in percentage point <br />x = Bond amount in millions <br />4 <br />• <br />