Agenda - 02-03-1992 - Laserfiche WebLink

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WED 15 :43 .TOH"s -ro". ZABOR ec AS50O. P_ 08 17 Solving for 50% support of the referendum, the regression yields $67.37 million. Point estimates of the confidence interval computed from the standard error of the rages" coefficient would yield excessively large intervals bemuse the regression line was found from five aggregated data points. IMerefore, it would be better to look at the confidence intervals around the individual questions, which are based on 401 cam. At the $65 million dollar level, 52.9% of respondents support the referendum, with a confidence interval of +/- 4.9%. If the amount of the bond is decreased to $55 million, support rises to 59.4% with a confidence Interval of +/- 4.9%. Sixty -two percent say the issue of school overcrowding is "extremely important" or "very. important" to their decision to support or not support the school bond referendum. Ten percent say that this issue was "not very important ". There were no outstanding differences between demographic groups in the responses to this quastion. Nearly two - thirds, 59.9 %, report there are no other issues that might cause them to vote against the referendum. Ten pint mention the cost in taxes as a factor that influences them negatively. Disproportionate distribution of funds is mentioned by 6.0%. Again, there are no apparent differences between demographic groups. IV. Distribution of Bond Proceeds Forty percent of the respondents feel that the division of bond proceeds should be based on "projected enrollment". Nearly one- fourth, 23.2 %, say that it should be evenly divided and 15.5% think that it should be "proportional to request ". Forty - two percent of residents of the Orange County School district and b 1.1 % of blacks say it should be evenly divided. Fifteen percent of the Chapel Hill/Carrboro district feel it should be evenly divided. V. Miming of Referendum Over half, 53.9%, say that the best time to conduct the school bond referendum would be November 1992, "which world coincide with the national election." Niaoeieen percent preferred May, along with the Primary and 15.0% opt for a special elecdo n between the two. (This does not reflect any correlation between support for the bond and the tithing of the referendum.)