Agenda - 02-03-1992 - Laserfiche WebLink

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JAN- 29--92 WED 15:43 JOHNSTON. 2ABOR & ASSOC. 16 M. Support for the Education Bond Re&rendum Regxxxknnts were asked if the would support an education bond referendum at five different levels: $85 million, $75 million, $65 million, $55 million and $45 million. At the lowest level, $45 million, 69.3 % percent of the respondents say they will vote for the referendum. At each level, women are more lil dy than men to vote for the bond, as are residents of the Chapel Fill /Carrbom district over Orange County residents, and blacks over whites. It should be noted, however, that due to the small number of black respondents, projections made from theme data should be cautiously. Respondents who have not had children in the systems are slightly more likely to vote for. the bond than those who currently have children in school. These two groups show consistently stronger support for the bond than do parents of former students, suggesting that those who have not had children foresee the most personal gain in the bond. Support at: Parents Parents TDW of curre t of former Neilb t (n -401) (n =97) (n =84) (n =206) $45 million 69.3% 74.2% 53.6% 74.3% $55 million 59.4% 62.9% 40.5% 56.4% $65 million 52.9% 54.6% 38.1% 59.2% $75 million 41.1% 44.3% 29.8% 44.7% $95 million 37.2% 40.2% 29.8% 39.3% There is a strong negative correlation between the percent who favor the referendum and the amount of the bond (r= -.99). Eased on this correlation, the percent who favor the referendum were plotted against the amount of the bond and a least squares preftion line was drawn. The equation for the regression line is: Y = 105.6 - .925x where y = Approval in percentage point x = Bond amount in millions 4