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KEY POINTS: <br /> 1. Ridership numbers indicate that the Gateway station serves as an important boarding station <br /> for Orange County residents destined for Duke University and other Durham locations, while <br /> the Leigh Village station serves as an important boarding station for trips destined to UNC- <br /> Chapel Hill. <br /> 2. All of these segments (and likely many others) clearly benefit both counties, with the mutual <br /> benefit most pronounced on the Leigh Village —Hillmont segment, where 46%of trip ends <br /> are associated with Orange County locations, 43%are associated with Durham County <br /> locations and 11%are associated with Chatham and Wake County locations. <br /> IMPORTANT CAVEATS: <br /> 1. Ridership is for the Year 2035 and comes from the Regional Transportation Model version being <br /> used by Triangle Transit for the alternatives analysis process, known as Version 4e2. It is a <br /> modified version of the model used to develop the 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan, and <br /> differs from version 5 which will be used for the 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan. All <br /> modeling results, especially those for small segments of the transportation system, should be <br /> viewed as approximations. <br /> 2. The land use analysis of the on-going NC 54 Study suggests that more development can occur in <br /> the area examined in this analysis than is in Version 4e2 of the model. If so, it might influence the <br /> distribution of trip ends. <br /> 3. Significant future changes to parking costs and constraints at UNC-Chapel Hill compared to those <br /> assumed in the transportation model could affect ridership forecasts. More constrained parking <br /> at Duke University could also influence mode choices for residents in the study area who travel to <br /> Duke. <br /> 4. In considering benefits (including ridership) and the other components of transit investments: <br /> bus-hours of service, revenues and costs, metrics can be viewed in several ways, including in <br /> aggregate or on a per-capita basis. Currently, Durham County has almost exactly double the <br /> popuiation of Orange County(267,587 vs. 133,801 according to the 2010 Census). According to <br /> the state demographer, by 2030 Orange County is projected to have 42% of the population of <br /> Durham County. <br /> Page 1 5 <br />