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11 <br /> High School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed the 110% LOS standard (current LOS is 97.1%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to increase over the next 10 years <br /> (average —0.72% compared to 0.45% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Similar to last year,projections are not showing a need to expand Carrboro High <br /> School from the initial capacity of 800 students to the ultimate capacity of 1,200 <br /> students in the 10-year projection period. <br /> ORANGE COUNTY SCHOOL DISTRICT <br /> Elementary School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 105% LOS standard (current LOS is 89.1%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease, but remain positive over <br /> the next 10 years (average —0.51% compared to 1.02% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Similar to last year,projections are not showing a need for an additional Elementary <br /> School in the 10-year projection period. <br /> Middle School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 107% LOS standard (current LOS is 79.6%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease, but remain positive over <br /> the next 10 years (average —0.36% compared to 0.92% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Similar to last year,projections are not showing a need for an additional Middle School <br /> in the 10-year projection period. <br /> High School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 110% LOS standard(current LOS is 100.3%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease, but remain positive over <br /> the next 10 years (average —0.22% compared to 1.53% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Similar to last year,projections are not showing a need to expand Cedar Ridge High <br /> School from the initial capacity of 1,000 students to 1,500 students in the 10-year <br /> projection period. <br /> ADDITIONAL INFORMATION <br /> The Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance (SAPFO) student projections illustrate when <br /> the adopted level of service capacities are forecasted to be met and/or exceeded in anticipation of <br /> CIP planning and the construction of a new school. However, as is being identified by both <br /> school districts, a new trend is emerging to renovate and expand existing facilities to address <br /> school capacity needs in a more feasible way. As this trend continues, additional capacity <br /> resulting from school renovations and expansions will be added to the projection models in <br /> stages, once funding is approved, versus the addition of greater capacity when a new school is <br /> constructed and completed. The renovation and expansion to existing facilities may delay <br /> construction of new schools further into the future. This process will pose some challenges to <br /> SAPFO compared to the existing process which indicates in advance when a completely new <br /> school is needed. Decisions on the timing of reconstruction funding would be indirectly linked to <br /> the SAPFO model. <br /> iii <br />