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II <br /> pattern of decentralized population. Its impact has been significant <br /> on commercial and industrial expansion within and outside of its <br /> borders. It will probably continue to exert the single most <br /> important influence tied to population growth in Orange County. <br /> • <br /> The extensive rural highway system maintained by the state augments <br /> this pattern of decentralization obetween OrangetCountyoand <br /> commutation within Orange County and <br /> employment centers in Durham andthee ResiarcheTrianglenPark. Orange <br /> County is the only SMSA count a in patterns, emphasizing its relative <br /> net loss due to commutation p <br /> attractiveness in terms of a p lace of residence for persons taking <br /> • <br /> advantage of employment opportunities outside the County. To what <br /> degree future availability and costs of energy will affect this <br /> pattern is yet unknown. <br /> The construction of the +/- 1-40 extension contributes a local <br /> in fluence to the settlement pattern by again facilitating easy <br /> influence <br /> commutation. <br /> It is clear that certain intangible factors are the key toethis They <br /> pattern of population decentralization ional <br /> include the availability of recreational <br /> opportunities in Orange County and the general attractiveness of the <br /> County as a place of residence. <br /> point when these intangibles become less important in the <br /> residential location decisions <br /> The p persons to of p <br /> will have tremendous impact on the County's s growth patterns. <br /> pattern of residential decentralizationheinn rural altarea has <br /> Th p . <br /> serious implications for the vitality in forcing the land out of <br /> Residential growth pressures may <br /> production either as a result of perationsnor by <br /> suits brought by residents in the <br /> creating the economic context in which farmland <br /> coowners orecognize the <br /> economic gain to be realized through farmland <br /> POPULATION PROJECTIONS attention <br /> should current population figures have been established, o tention <br /> should turn to the calculation arovidelaniimportant future <br /> framework for <br /> projections. These projections provide estimating the extent of future impacts on human, economic and <br /> natural resources resulting from the increased demand for the use of <br /> land. <br /> MPthodolaME <br /> in each of the townships over the <br /> Estimates of population gr owth exponential extrapolation of past <br /> population twenty rends we us ngdthe average annual growth rates for each <br /> population over past township over the past 20 years. While more sophistictaed methods <br /> 6 <br />