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9 <br /> 2017 SAPFOTAC Executive Summary <br /> I. Base Memorandum of Understanding <br /> A. Level of Service....................................................................(No Change)........pg. l <br /> Chapel HilUCarrboro Orange County <br /> School District School District <br /> Eleme 105% 105% <br /> Middle 107% 107% <br /> High 110% 110% <br /> B. Building Capacity and Membership..................................(Change)..............Pg. 2 <br /> Chapel HNICarrboro Orange County <br /> School District School District <br /> Capacity Membership Increase from Capacity Membership Increase from <br /> Prior Year Prior Year <br /> Elementary 5829 5567 66 3694 3293 (25 <br /> Middle 2944 2829 15 2166 1724 15 <br /> High 3875 3762 61 1 2439 2446 23) <br /> C. Membership Date—November 15.......................................(No Change)........Pg.17 <br /> II. Annual Update to SAPFO System <br /> A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) ...........................................(No Change)........Pg. 18 <br /> B. Student Membership Projection Methodology.................(No Change)........Pg. 19 <br /> The average of 3,S,and 10 year history/cohort surviva4 linear and arithmetic projection models. <br /> C. Student Membership Projections.......................................(Change)..............Pg. 29 <br /> Analysis of 5 Years of Projections for 2016-17 School Year—Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools <br /> (The fast column for each year includes the student membership projection made for 2016-2017 in that given year.The second column for each year <br /> includes the number of students the projection was off compared to actual membership.An"L"indicates the projection was low compared to the <br /> actual whereas an"H"indicates the projection was high compared to the actual. <br /> Year Projection Made for 2016-17 Membership <br /> Actual 2016 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 <br /> Membership <br /> Elementary 5567 6026 H459 5837 H270 5845 H278 5662 H95 5552 1 L15 <br /> Middle 2829 2987 H158 3004 H175 2962 H133 2928 1 H99 2830 1 H1 <br /> High 3762 4018 1 H256 4016 H254 3893 1 H131 3798 1 H36 3757 1 LS <br /> i <br />