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8 <br /> Table of Contents <br /> 2017 SAPFOTAC Executive Summary............................................................................................................................i <br /> ntroductionv <br /> Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance artners...............................................................................................vi <br /> Planning Directors/School Representatives Technical Advisory Co ittee.............................................................vii <br /> I.Base Memorandum of Understanding 1 <br /> A. Level of Service 1 <br /> B. Building Capacity and Membership 2 <br /> Attachment I.B.1 Orange County School Capacity(Elementary,Middle,&High) (2015-16) 5 <br /> Attachment I.B.2 Chapel Hill/Carrboro School Capacity (Elementary,Middle,&High) (2015-16) 8 <br /> Attachment I.B.3 Orange County School Capacity(Elementary,Middle,&High) (2016-17) 11 <br /> Attachment I.B.4 Chapel Hill/Carrboro School Capacity (Elementary,Middle,&High) (2016-17) 14 <br /> C. Membership Date 17 <br /> Annual Update to Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance System 18 <br /> A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) 18 <br /> B. Student Membership Projection Methodology 19 <br /> Attachment II.B.I—Student Membership Projection Descriptions 20 <br /> Attachment II.B.2—Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis (2015-16) 21 <br /> Attachment II.B.3 —Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis (2016-17) 25 <br /> C. Student Membership Projections 29 <br /> Attachment II.C.1—Orange County Student Projections(Elementary,Middle,&High) (2015-16) 35 <br /> Attachment II.C.2—Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Projections (Elementary,Middle,&High)(2015-16) 36 <br /> Attachment II.C.3—Orange County Student Projections(Elementary,Middle,&High) (2016-17) 37 <br /> Attachment II.C.4—Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Projections(Elementary,Middle,&High)(2016-17) 38 <br /> D. Student Membership Growth Rate 39 <br /> Attachment II.D.1 —Orange County and Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Growth Rates <br /> (Chart dates from 2016-2026 based on 11/13/15 membership numbers)(2015-16) 40 <br /> Attachment II.D.2—Orange County and Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Growth Rates <br /> (Chart dates from 2017-2027 based on 11/15/16 membership numbers) (2016-17) 41 <br /> E. Student/Housing Generation Rate 42 <br /> Attachment II.E.1—Current Student Generation Rates (2015) 44 <br /> III. Flowchart of Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance Process 45 <br /> A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) (Process 1) 45 <br /> Attachment III.A.1—Process 1 Capital Improvement Plan 46 <br /> B. Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance Certificate of Adequate Public Schools <br /> (CAPS) Update (Process 2) 47 <br /> Attachment III.B.1—Process 2 Certificate of Adequate Public Schools(CAPS)Allocation 48 <br />