Orange County NC Website
45 <br /> Section II <br /> were updated using current(November 15, 2016) memberships. Ten years of student <br /> membership were projected thereafter. <br /> Chapel Hill/Carrboro School District <br /> Elementary <br /> The previous year(2015-16)projections for November 2016 at this level were underestimated by <br /> 15 students. The actual membership increased by 66 students. Over the previous ten years, this <br /> level has shown varying increases in growth rates including a decrease in actual membership in <br /> 2009-10 which was most likely due to the shorter enrollment period caused by the institution of <br /> the new date requiring kindergarteners to be five years old. Following that dip, membership <br /> numbers experienced an increase each year with a significant jump (168 students) in 2011-12 <br /> before experiencing a decrease in 2014-15 and 2015-16. Growth rates during the past ten years <br /> have ranged from -1.57% to+3.88%. The district's eleventh elementary school,Northside <br /> Elementary School, opened in 2013. The need for an additional elementary school is not <br /> anticipated in the 10 year projection period. This is similar to last year's projections. <br /> Although not included in SAPFO school capacity or membership numbers, Pre-K programs <br /> continue to impact operations at District elementary schools where Pre-K programs exist. <br /> Specific impacts of Pre-K programs at the elementary school level will continue to be reviewed <br /> and discussed in the coming year. <br /> Middle <br /> The previous year(2015-16)projections for November 2016 for this level were overestimated by <br /> 1 student. The actual membership decreased by 15 students. Over the previous ten years, this <br /> level has shown varying increases before experiencing a decrease in 2015-16 and this year. <br /> Growth rates during this time period have ranged from -0.59% to +2.86%. Capacity was <br /> increased in 2014 with the opening of the Culbreth Middle School science wing. The need for an <br /> additional middle school is not anticipated in the 10-year projection period. This is similar to last <br /> year's projections. <br /> High School <br /> The previous year(2015-16)projections for November 2016 for this level were underestimated <br /> by 5 students. The actual membership increased by 61 students. Over the previous ten years, <br /> change has been variable with decreases in membership in five of the ten years. Growth rates <br /> 30 <br />