Agenda - 09-22-1987 - Laserfiche WebLink

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055 QUESTION 3: SEEK FORMULAS OR MODELS TO INTRODUCE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CONCERNS INTO THE LAND USE PLANNING PROCESS 3a. Relationship between population growth and need and _private services.- The tremendous growth in residential development which is already occuring and is expected to accelerate in Orange County will clearly increase the need for public services. The need for expansion of various services will depend on factors such as household size and residential density. After reviewing research in this area, we will propose formulas to predict the change in demand for schools, pubic safety, parks and recreation, transportation, water and sewer, and other government services. The demand for private sector services is harder to project because the county 's economy is not self-contained. New households may require a predictable volume of certain public services, but their private sector-related activities (shopping, entertainment, health care, and others) will not necessarily occur within the county. Thus a model developed for a region or metro area would yield inaccurate results if applied to Orange County. The most useful kind of model would be one that could predict a range of demand based on different assumptions about consumers - behavior. We will survey the relevant research for formulas or models applicable to Orange County s situation. We will also take into account objectives ( identified in the Definition section) that call for increased retail sales and services in the county. 3b. Economic development acres as a function of residential acres The amount of land that the county should set aside for economic development depends largely on the county 's overall goals and priorities: the sort of residential environment the county wishes to maintain; the degree to which business development is needed to strengthen the tax base; and the perceived importance of creating employment opportunities close to home for county residents. These considerations will determine the enthusiasm with which the county encourages new service and retail businesses to meet the growing consumer demand. The same considerations will determine the county s receptivity to new "base employment, " including manufacturing, wholesale trade, and services to businesses i .e. any establishments not supported primarily by the demand from local households. The latter create jobs and contribute to the tax base but are not primarily a function of residential growth.