Agenda - 01-04-1988 - Laserfiche WebLink

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202 PO,Au Lat i on and Land gegu i remen t_ Prpj ect ions One of the initial and fundamental steps in the land use planning process is the calculation of the amount of land needed to accommodate projected growth. Generally, the amount of land required for residential growth and associated non- residential growth is a direct function of population and household size. Table 3-2 summarizes population estimates and projections for population while Table 3-2a projects the number of additional homes needed to meet the demand of new residents. The average household size will continue to decline, leveling off towards the end of the twenty year plan period. The projected average household size used is slightly higher than for other townships, reflecting a historically higher average household size in Cedar Grove. Table 3-2b , using the projected number of new households, estimates land requirements for development through the year 2005 . The population projections are based on an average annual growth rate of 2. 96%, the average annual growth rate from 1980 to 1987 , projected out from the estimated population in 1987 . Projections based on growth during tills time period differ from the approach used in other townships where the 1970 to 1987 average annual growth rate was used. However, the nature of growth in Cedar Grove Township ( static from 1970 to 1980 and then moderate from 1980 to 1987 ) differs markedly from that in the other townships. TABLE 3-2 CEDAR GROVE POPULATION PROJECTIONS, 1987-2005 a b c c c c year 1980 1987 1990 1995 2000 2005 TOTAL POPULATION 3, 166 3 ,883 4 ,238 4,904 5,674 6,564 POPULATION CHANGE FROM 1980 ( NUMBER) --- 717 1 , 072 1 ,738 2,508 3,398 a 1980 U. S. Census of Population b Estimate based on building permits Issued by the Orange County Planning Department c Projections based on a standard exponential extrapolation of the 1980-1987 average annual growth rate of 2. 96% per year.