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Attachment 6 17 <br /> From: Perdita Holtz <br /> To: Barry Jacobs <br /> Cc: Earl McKee;Bernadette Pelissier; Miia Burroughs; Penny Rich;Renee Price; Mark Dorosin; Travis Myren;Bonnie <br /> Hammersley;Craig(Benedict;John Roberts <br /> Subject: School Impact Fees-Housing Units Projected for Future <br /> Date: Wednesday,September 07,2016 4:58:00 PM <br /> Hello Commissioner Jacobs, <br /> At last night's meeting, you inquired as to the number of units approved that are not yet built. I'm <br /> writing draw your attention to Appendix A of the reports, particularly pages 25, 26, 34, and 35 of <br /> the CHCCS report (Appendix A is the same for both school districts) which contains information and <br /> assumptions on housing growth for the next ten years. <br /> In summary, the reports assume the following(based on both past data and staff knowledge of <br /> recent permitting activity and approved but unbuilt units)for the next 10 years: <br /> OCS CHCCS <br /> 332 = avg. annual residential unit growth 273 = avg. annual residential unit growth <br /> 2004-2013 2004-2013 <br /> 20%= assumed annual increase, based on 25%= assumed annual increase, based on <br /> large number of approved but unbuilt units large number of approved but unbuilt units <br /> and recent increases in permitting activity and recent increases in permitting activity <br /> 398= projected future annual residential 341 = projected future annual residential <br /> unit growth unit growth <br /> Projected Future Unit Mix: Projected Future Unit Mix: <br /> 60%Single family detached 20%Single family detached <br /> 15%Single family attached 15%Single family attached <br /> 20% Multi-family 65% Multi-family <br /> 5% Manufactured home 0% Manufactured home <br /> 3,980= Projected increase in housing units 3,410 = Projected increase in housing units <br /> over next 10 years over next 10 years <br /> We are also attempting to collect data from the other planning jurisdictions regarding approved but <br /> unbuilt projects and hope to have this information available for the October 4th meeting date. <br /> When I discussed this issue with Town of Chapel Hill staff earlier this year, I learned that the projects <br /> in Chapel Hill associated with Development Agreements will be phased in over a period of 10-15 <br /> years, possibly longer. <br /> I hope you find this information helpful and please let me know if you have any questions. <br /> Perdita Holtz, AICP <br /> Planning Systems Coordinator <br /> Orange County, NC Planning Department <br /> 919.245.2578 <br />