Agenda - 06-04-1981 - Laserfiche WebLink

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ik The projected scattered development population of 4,460 persons locating outside of the Towns planning area during the plan period would require an estimated 1,640 additional dwelling units and 4,182 additional resi- dential acres • In addition to the additional residential acreage, resi- dential development brings in its wake the need for land for non-resi- dential purposes such as shopping, schools, churches, recreational facili- ties, fire stations and other similar uses. The total additional acreage required to accomodate scattered development during the plan period, therefore, is 4,391 acres. Having accounted for the estimated land requirements for scattered develop- ment, further consideration should be given to accomodating the land re- quirements of spillover development regardless of the calculated absence of spillover development unaccomodated through infill development. As shown on Table 3-166a icappears that the policy of 75% infill development of suitable vacant land in the Towns, it successful, would almost exactly accomodate all the projected Township population increase with land capa- city to spare. However, the concept of infill development is based on an assumption regarding the desired compactness of settlement. In actuality, other factors such as individual preference, the functioning of the land market, political, and community support for the policy and the adequacy of infill development incentives impact upon the degree to which this policy is successfully translated into physical form. Therefore, land in areas adjacent to the Towns has been allocated to accomodate for 25% of the projected increase in Township population (less the population accomodated through scattered development) unable Or unwilling to live within the Towns planning area. The average population density of the Chapel Hill-Carrboro planning area is 2.25 persons per acre. Assuming the same density of development for the transition areas outside the towns planning area, an additional 5011 acres will be needed to accomodate the potential "spillover" development of 25% of the population increase or 11,275 persons. TABLE 3-167 CHAPEL HILL TOWNSHIP LAND REQUIREMENTS: 1980-2000 ACCOMDDATED TDTAL ACREAGE POPULATION REQUIRED SPILLOVER DEVELOPMENT 11,275 5,011 SCATTERED DEVELOPMENT 4,460 4,391 TOTAL 16,849 9,402 As shown on Table 3-167, the total additional land required to accorodate both scattered and spillover development is 9,402 acres. Allocation of Growth The primary task of the Land Use Plan is to geographically allocate the