Agenda - 09-10-1985 - Laserfiche WebLink

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FIVEAR )ABLE Xt PDPULRTItlN E.7it1RTE6 for TOWNSHIP. TOWN BASED on 4,=IM)ARIeON Of PROJECTED, ESTIMATED COUNTY RESIDENTIAL POP. DENSITIES using HIGH MIGRATION RATE ORANGE COUNTY -------i- ------- CHAPEL HILL TOWN[�HIP - CHAPEL HILL TOWN.REB.POP.+3RE8.PIP.+8 RES.STUD.+3RP DENSITY PROJ.D.+4 RPD/PD+5 PROJ.D.+4 EST.RPD+6 TOTAL AC. EST.POP.+B E.T.T.POP+9 PROJ.D.+4 EST.RPD+6 TOTAL AC. EST.POP.a8 EST.T:POP+9 77539.00 69397.00 0140.00 .27 .27 1.00 .81 .81 57434. 46391.23 54186.13 3.29 3.29 8452.00 27831.59 32472.53 81476.20 73253.20 8223.00 .29 .2S 1.04 .B2 .65 57434.8 48979.03 36790.68 3.29 3.29 8506.00 27994.10 386B1.21 63414.40 77109.40 13305.00 .30 .2B 2.07 .84 .90 57434. 51557.48 59457.23 3.30 3.30 8537.00 28132.83 32866.68 69351.60 80965.60 5386.00 .32 .29 L.LO .86 .94 57434.0A 54156.54 62123.24 3.11 3.11 9173.00 28554.63 33334.65 93289.80 84822.80 8468.80 .33 .29 1.13 .87 .99 57434. 56746.20 64790.80 3.17 3.17 9236.00 29296.59 3123.35 97227.00 86678.00 8549.00 .35 .30 1.16 .89 1.03 57434. 1 59336.40 67457.95 3.34 3.34 9265.00 30964.36 3'JS37.49 +10 311 1986 101906.00 93276.00 8636.00 .37 .31 1.20 .91 2.09 57434.091 62633.44 70831.94 3.29 3.95 9763.00 38597.38 4:516.48 1987 106586.00 97874.00 8712.00 .36 .31 1.23 .93 1.15 57434.00 65943.17 74219.57 3.25 4.01 10261.00 41120.63 4••086.47 1988 1!1265.00 102472.00 8793.00 .40 .32 1.27 .95 t.21 57434.00 69264.86 77618.21 3.20 4.05 10759.00 43616.12 41-628.13 1989 115945.00 107070.00 8875.00 .42 .32 1.30 .97 1.26 57434.00 72597.83 8t029.05, 3.15 4.09 11257.00. 46077.35 5.136.10 1990 120624.00 111668.00 6956.00 .44 .33 1.33 .99 1.32 57434.00 75941.48 64449.68 3.10 4.13 11755.00 4849B.29 5:603.21 t99L 125055.20 116019.20 9036.00 .46 .34 1.36 1.01 1.36 57434.00 79128.44 87712.64 3.14 4.26 11909.40 50771.47 5.1921.99 1992 129469.40 t20370.40 9319.00 .47 .34 1.38 1.04 1.43 57434.00 82324.07 90987.12 3.18 4.40 12063.80 53076.33 511274.16 1993 133921.60 124721.60 9200.00 .49 .35 1.41 1.06 t.49 57434.00 85527.93 94267.93 3.2E• 4.54 32218.20 55413.04 60657.04 1994 138354.80 129072.80 9282.00 .51 .35 1.43 1.08 1.55 57434.00 88739.58 97557.48 3.26 4.67 12372.60 57781.74 63072.48 L995 142787.00 133424.00 9363.00 .52 .36 1.46 1.10 1.60 57434.00 91956.64 100853.49 3.30 4.80 12527.00 60182.58 65519.49 1996 148159.40 138714.40 9445.00 .54 .37 1.49 1.12 1.67 57434.00 95831.88 104804.53 3.26 4.85 13074.€0 63438.45 £8Ac'2.10 1997 153530.80 144004.80 9526.00 .57 .37 1.52 1.14 1.74 57434.00 99714.73 108764.43 3.2e 4.89 1?52t.40 66664.60 72094.42 1998 153303.20 144(295.80 9608.00 .59 .38 L.1., 1.t6 L.90 57434.00 103606.73 11.734.33 3.I6 4.93 14168.60 69855.26 75331.B 1989 1E 4274.FJD 154585.60 9689.00 .61 .36 1.58 1.18 1.87 57434.00 107507.44 116711.99 3.14 4.96 14715.80 73W5.00 76527.73 2000 169646.00 159876.00 9770.00 .E3 .39 1.E1 1.21 t.q4 57434.00 11141£.45 t20697.95 3.10 4.99 15263.00 76108.75 81677.65 -12 IAX .?000 1187544.34 1177774.34 9770.00 4.62 4.62 57434.00 265563.33 274844.83 4.62 15263.00 70573.06 76141.96 NOTESt 1. (T)OTAL (RES)TDENT tPOP)ULATION IS THE SUM OF (ESTIMATED) LOCAL RESIDENTS AND STUDENTS COUNTED AS RESIDENTS + 2. FULL-TIME RESIDENTS (EST.). EXCLUDING STUDENTSiADJUSTED FROM APRIL 1 CENSUS COUNT TO JULY 3 ESTIMATE) 3. STLjDENT RESIDENTS (ESTIMATED FROMFIILL-TIME FALL ENROLLMENT SUMMARY) INCREASED AT THE RATE OF t% / YEAR FFROM SASE YEAR (1980) 4. (R)EBIDENTtPL tP)OPULATIGN DENSITY IS DERIVED FROM COHORT-SURVIVAL ESTIMATES OF COUNTY POP. CHANGE / COUNTY ACREAGE „hit+ 4PROJ)E'CTED t0)ENSITV IS BASED ON TRENDS BETWEEN 1960-1980. S. THE RPD/PD FACTOR INDICATES TO WHAT DEGREE THE EST114ATED FUTURE COUNTY POPULATION DENSITY DIFFERS FROM DENSITY ESTIMATES BASED ON HISTORICRL PATTERN. THIS FACTOR IS THEN USED TO ADJUST DENSITY PROJECTIONS FOR CHAPEL HILL TOWN914IP AND TOWN. S. tEST)IMATED (R)ESIDENTIRL (P)OPULATION (D)ENSITV I5 THE DENSITY ADJUSTMENT FACTOR (SEE 5 ABOVE) 7. PROJ.DENSITV AND EST.RPO SAME FOR TOWN, 1980-851 DENSITIES DERIVED FROM RECORDED CERT. OF OCCUPANCY e. (ESTIIMATED (POP)LATION IS THE PRODUCT OF THE ESTIMATED RESIDENTIAL DENSITY/AC x THE TOTAL ACREAGE 9. (EST)IMATED (T)OTAL (POP)ULATION INCLUDES ESTIMATED STUDENT RESIDENTS (95% OF COUNTY TOTAL IN TOWNSHIP, 57% IN TOWN). 10. TOWN LIMIT ACREAGE, 1980-1985,FROM ANNEXATION MAP. ACREAGE ESTIMATES FOR 1990,1995,ANO 2000, PROJECTED BASED ON HISTORICAL PATTERN OF TOWN ANNEXATIONS. OTHER RNNUAL ACREAGE • TOTALS DERIVED USING INTERPOLATION. 31. TOTALS MAY NOT CHECK DUE TO ROUNDING. 12. ESTIMATED TOTAL POPULATION IN YEAR 2000 WITH AVERRSE POP. DENSITY IN COUNTY TOWN8141P AND TOWN EQUALLING THE ESTIMATED HIGHEST PAST RESIDENT DENSITY (1963), 4.6238 PERSONS/AC.. CHAPEL HILL PLAW41NO DEPARTMENT R+vl++d Sept. 3, 1985 ,Fj