Agenda - 09-10-1985 - Laserfiche WebLink

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R56 TABLE Vt POPULATION ESTIMATES for TOWNSHIP, TOWN BASED on a COMPARISON of PROJECTED, ESTIMATED COUNTY RESIDENTIAL POP. DENSITIES using LOW MIGRATION RATE 1^---- --- -------^-- ORANGE COUNTY CHAPEL HILL TOWNSHIP ------------ CHAPEL HILL TOWN --_--- -�„-_1 YEAR T.RE9.PDP.*1RE9.POP.*2 RES.STUD.*3RP DENSITY PROJ.D.*4 RPO/PD•5 PROJ.D.*4 EST.RPDa6 TOTAL AC. EST.POP.*a EST.T.POP*9 PROJ.D.►4 EST.RPDa6 TOTAL AC. EST.POP.*8 EST.T.POP+4 1980 77539.00 69397.00 8142.00 .27 .27 7.00 .81 .81 57434.00 46391.23 54126.13 3.29*7 3.29 07 8452.00 27831.59 32472_63 1981 79670.20 71447.20 8223.00 .28 .28 1.01 .82 .83 57434.00 47771.49 55583.34 3.29 3.29 8506.00 27994.30 32661.21 1982 81802.40 73497.40 8305.00 .29 .28 1.02 .84 as 57434.00 49153.93 57041.68 3.30 3.30 8837.00 28132.83 32866.68 1983 83933.66 75547,60 6386.00 .30 ,29 1.03 .86 .88 57434.00 50532.53 58499.23 3.11 3.11 9173.00 28534.63 33334.65 1984 86065.80 77597.80 8468.00 .30 .29 1.04 .87 .90 57434.00 51913.30 59957.9@ 3.17 3.17 9236.00 29296.59 34123.35 1985 88197.00 79648.00 8549.00 .31 .30 1.05 .89 .93 87434.00 53294.23 61418.78 3.34 3.34 9265.00 30964.56 35837,49 198S 90467.60 83857.60 8630.00 .32' .31 1.05 ,41 ,96 57434.910 549b6.15 63164.65 3.29 3.47 9763.00*t0 33872.47 38791.37*11 1987 92779.20 84067.80 8712.00 .33 .31 1.06 .93 .99 57434.00 56640.76 64917.16 3.25 3.44 t0261.00 35319.86 40285.70 1988 95069.80 86276.80 8793.00 .34 .32 1.07 .95 t.0? 57434,00 511317.88 66671.23 3.20 3.41 10759.00 36722.81 41734.82 1989 97361.40 66486.40 8875.00 .35 .32 1.07 .97 1.04 57434.00 59997.39 68428.64 3.15 3.36 33257.00 38079.94 43138.69 1990 99652.00 90696.00 8956.00 .36 .33 3.08 -.99 1.07 57434.00 61679.16 70187.36 3.10 3.35 11755.00 39389.99 44494.93 1991 307535.80 92499.80 9036.00 .36 .34 1.08 1.01 1.20 57434.00 63087.33 71671.73 3.14 3.40 11909.40 40479.08 45629.6@ 1992 103422.60 943 03.60 9119.00 .37 .34 1.06 1.04 1.12 57434.00 64496.39 73159.44 3.18 3.45 12063.80 43582.39 46780.22 1993 105307.40 96107.40 9200.091 .38 .35 1.919 1.06 3.15 57434.00 65905.72 74645.72 3.22 3.49 !221$.2@ 42b99.93 47943.93 1994 107193.20 97931.20 9282.00 .38 .35 1.09 1.08 1.17 57434.00 67315.49 76!33.39 3.26 3.54 12372.60 43831.7@ 49222.44 1995 709078.00 99715.90 9363.0@ .39 .36 1.09 1.10 1.20 :17434.00 68725.68 77620.53 3.30 3.59 12527.00 44977.71 50314.62 1996 111533.60 102068.60 9445.00 .40 .37 1.10 1.12 t.23 57434.00 70514.85 79487.60 3.26 3.57 13074.20 46F.79.17 5aOF.-.BZ 1997 313948.20 104422.20 9526.00 .41 .37 1.10 2.14 1.2b 57434.00 72306.14 81355.84 3:22 3.55 13621.40 48340.50 53770,3,: 1998 116383.80 106775.80 9608.00 .42 .38 1.11 I.it. 3.29 57434.910 74099.44 83227.04 3.18 3.53 1416R.F0 49960.42 5`,431..wA 1999 128818.40 709129.40 9689.00 .43 .38 1.12 1.18 1.11: 57434.01 75894.66 85099.21 3.14 3.50 34715.8@ 31537.73 57061..4F 2000 N1 121253.00 111483.00 9770.00 .44 .39 1.12 1.21 1.35 57434.00 77691.71 86973.21 3.10 3.48 15263.00 53071.33 58640.23 MAX 2`000 1187544.34 1177774.34 9770.00 4.82 4.62 57434.00 265363.33 274844.83 4,6E 15263.00 70573.06 76245.96 NOTES( 1. tT)OTAL (RES)IDENT (POP)ULATION IS THE SUM OF (ESTIMATED) LOCAL RESIDENTS AND STUDENTS COUNTED AS RESIDENTS 2. FULL-TIME RESIDENTS (EST.). EXCLUDING STUDENTS(ADJUSTED FROM APRIL I CENSUS COUNT TO JULY 1 ESTIMATE) 3. STUDENT RESIDENTS (ESTIMATED FROMFULL-TIME FALL ENROLLMENT SUMMARY) INCREASED AT.THE RATE OF 11( / YEAR FFROM BASE YEAR (198@) 4. (RIESIDENTIAL (P)OPULATION DENSITY I8 DERIVED FROM COHORT-SURVIVAL ESTIMATES OF COUNTY POP. CHANGE / COUNTY ACREAGE while (PRDJ)ECTED (0)ENSITY 38 BASSOON TRENDS BETWEEN 1960-1980. S. THE RPD/PD FACTOR INDICATES TD WHAT DEGREE THE ESTIMATED FUTURE COUNTY POPULATION DENSITY DIFFERS FROM DENSITY ESTIMATES BASED ON HISTORICAL PATTERN. THIS FACTOR IS THEN USED • TO ADJUST DENSITY PROJECTIONS FOR CHAPEL HILL TOWNSHIP AND TOWN. S. IEST)IMATEO (R)ESIDENTIAL (P)OPULATION (DIENSITV IS THE DENSITY ADJUSTMENT FACTOR (SEE 5 ABOVE) 7, PROJ.OENSITY AND EBT.RPD GAME FOR TOWN, 1980-$S, DENSITIES DERIVED FROM CERT. OF OCCUPANCY G. tEST12MATED (POP)ULATION IS THE PRODUCT OF THE ESTIMATED RESIDENTIAL DENSITY/RC w THE TOTAL ACREAGE 9. (EST)IMATED (T)DTAL iPOPIULATION INCLUDES ESTIMATED STUDENT RESIDENTS (95% OF COUNTY TOTAL IN TOWNSHIP. 5739 IN TOWN). 10. TOWN LIMIT ACREAGE, 1280-1985,FROM ANNEXATION MAP. ACREAGE ESTIMATES FOR 1990,1995,AND 2000, PROJECTED BASED ON HISTORICAL PATTERN OF TOWN ANNEXATIONS. OTHER ANNUAL ACREAGE TOTALS DERIVED USING INTERPOLATION. 13. TOTALB MAY NOT CHECK DUE TO RDUNDINS. St. ESTIMATED TOTAL POPULATION IN YEAR ROSS WITH AVERAGE POP. DENSITY IN COUNTY TOWNSHIP AND TOWN EOUALLING THE ESTIMATED HIGHEST PAST RESIDENT DENSITY (3965), 4.6238 PERSONS/AC.. CHAPEL HILL PLANNING DEPARTMENT Revised Sept. 3. 1985 --