Orange County NC Website
1�Oww2n.s <br /> Attachment 7 <br /> OCS Student Projections(1)(4) <br /> Elementary <br /> School Year 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-08 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-28 <br /> Actual 2893 2901 2945 3016 3006 3072 3158 3185 3211 3285 3348 3403 3433 3259 3318 <br /> Mohler(2) 3,388 3,413 3,461 3,508 3,556 3,603 3,651 3,698 3,746 3,793 <br /> OC Planning 3,376 3,438 3,491 3,548 3,602 3,657 3,712 3,767 3,822 3,886 <br /> 10 Year Growth 3,306 3,250 3,242 3,234 3,299 3,332 3,365 3,399 3,433 3,467 <br /> 5 Year Growth 3,289 3,221 3,203 3,191 3,252 3,285 3,318 3,351 3,384 3,418 <br /> 3 Year Growth 3,288 3,218 3,199 3,181 3,240 3,273 3,305 3,338 3,372 3,406 <br /> Average 3,325 3,308 3,319 3,332 3,390 3,430 3,470 3,511 3,551 3,594 <br /> Annual Change-Increase(Decrease)in Actual.Projected Membership) (185) 8 44 71 (10) 66 86 7 46 74 63 55 30 (174) 59 7 (17) 11 13 58 40 40 40 41 43 <br /> Capacity-100%Level of Service 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,920 3,920 3,920 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 <br /> Number of Students,Actual and Projected,Over(Under)100%LOS (927) (919) (875) (804) (914) (848) (762) (529) (483) (409) (346) (291) (261) (435) (376) (369) (386) (375) (362) (304) (264) (224) (183) (143) (100) <br /> 105%Level of Service 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,116 4,116 4,116 3,879 879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 3,879 <br /> Number of Actual-%Lev eIoffSServvicecelaM Projected,Over(UMer)105%LOS (1,118) <br /> 757% (1,110) <br /> 759% (1,066) <br /> 1% 790% (1,110) <br /> 767% (1,044) <br /> 784% 806% 857% 8698, 889% 906% 9241% 929% 882% (561) 554) (571) (560) (54]) (489) (449) (409) (368) (327) (285)1 <br /> 90.0% 89.5% 89.9% 90.2% 91.8% 92.9% 93.9% 95.0% 96.1% 97.3% <br /> Annual Student Growth Rate(3) .6.01% 0.28% 1.52% 2.41% .0.33% 20% 2.80rt 022% 1.45% 2.30% 1.92% 1.64% 0.88% .5.07% 1.81% 0.21% .0.52% 0.34% 0.39% 1.73% 1.18% 1.18% 1.17% 1.16% 1.20% <br /> n .2 100 new 0 nllz <br /> bwu91 Elementary Scleol <br /> lnpwtent Nine:re approved by B0CC <br /> indicates when district surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service npaclry numbers 2 tf.:Ion t Group and report of <br /> May 5,20009,Gages 2008-09 scowreduu d from 1:23 to 1:2100,opening ofat6 eenebry*lo- <br /> 01 II is Imwden10 nole11.11115 Weds IlleNowmber15, r men us WI.In In te Wads a..Publo FaclikeChdranoe. Mmlz lime(Wallow for Plor le9lzbtve ace,.re reduced class sett) <br /> IA mennwNma poweeerm'enca was a PWwene at tact GhC¢ne acs.On el prmals re.n myeers ow.morn meurea aopemn Meipamaas.using actual menianliptr yers2C01.02.noug112017-leand neap menbenliptr yers201617.nougn 2027-26 <br /> .pose Om....-3.2317......000.0.02007m.memo Incewn 200.col Caa:aaM Wal■Gwpevean,eneela 01.00.000 W.yes.Nemnrp of.a.Elm ental/M.*Rn se I:21....b W eW Ie...e a.m. <br /> OCS Student Projections(1) <br /> Middle <br /> School Year 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 200405 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 201415 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 <br /> Actual 1 527 1 631 1 671 1 593 1 590 1580 1 837 1 81 1 665 1 698 1 704 1 684 1 747 1 762 1 739 <br /> Tschlar(2) 1,764 1,789 1,814 1,839 1.84 1,888 1,913 1,938 1,963 1,988 <br /> OC Planing 1,769 1,806 1,844 1,884 1,924 1,964 2,004 2,027 2,051 2,073 <br /> 10 Year Growth 1,733 1,780 1,858 1,870 1,761 1,735 1,709 1,761 1,779 1,796 <br /> 5 Year Growth 1,726 1,756 1,821 1,822 1,705 1,670 1,838 1,888 1,703 1,720 <br /> 3 Year Growth 1,724 1,751 1,812 1,815 1,699 1,663 1,627 1,672 1,688 1,705 <br /> Average 1,743 1,776 1,830 1,846 1,790 1,784 1,778 1,817 1,837 1,857 <br /> Annual Change-Increase(Decrease)In Actual 8,Projected Membership) 23 104 40 (78) (3) (10) 57 (36) 64 33 6 120) 63 15 123) 4 33 53 16 (56) (6) (6) 39 20 20 <br /> Capacity.100%Level of Service 1,466 1,466 1,466 1,466 1,466 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 2,166 <br /> Number of Students,Actual and Projected,Over(Under)100%LOS 61 165 205 127 124 (586) (529) (565) (501) (468) (462) (482) (419) (404) 1427) (423) (390) (336) (320) (376) (382) (388) (349) (329) (309) <br /> 107%Level of Service 1,569 1,569 1,569 1,569 1,569 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 2,318 <br /> Number of Students,Actual and Projected,Over(Under)107%LOS (42) 62 102 24 21 (738) (681) (717) (653) (620) (614) (634) (571) (556) (579) 574) (541) (488) (472) (527) (534) (539) (501) (481) (461) <br /> Actual-%Level of Service 104.2% 111.3% 114.0% 108.7% 108.5% 72.9% 75.6% 73.9% 76.9% 78.4% 78.7% 77.7% 80.7% 81.3% 80.3% <br /> Average-%Level of Service 80.5% 82.0% 84.5% 85.2% 82.7% 624% 82.1% 83.9% 848% 857% <br /> Annual Student Growth Rate(3) = 1.53% 6.81% 2.45% -467% -0.19% -0.63% 3.61% -2.20% 4.00% 1.98% 0.35% -1.17% 3.74% 0.86% -1.31% 0.24% 1.91% 3.00% 0.90% -3.02% -0.38% -0.33% 2.18% 1.09% 1.08% <br /> oo x3 opens n fah 2006 wed 700 addtonal seats I <br /> indicates Men district surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service <br /> 01.impowmtb n m.n as cut..in by a 0meo4eabnmeewnawee W.I.ewmA1n14....0. <br /> .mae201115.1111,w m <br /> .p..111711th HZ010-17onou 7070.0 <br /> OCS Student Projections(1) <br /> High <br /> School Year 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 <br /> Actual 1 753 1828 1.887 2.057 2.124 2184 2201 2242 2 217 2222 2 283 2315 2421 282 2469 <br /> Tlschler(21 2,504 Z540 2,575 2,610 2,646 2,681 2,716 2,752 Z787 Z823 <br /> OC plan 2,511 2,542 2,581 2,621 2,660 2,78 2,740 2,796 2,853 2,902 <br /> 10 Year Growth 2,478 2,491 2,422 2,478 2,540 2,548 2,621 2,541 2,478 2,461 <br /> 5 Year Growth 2,506 2,549 2,487 2,523 2,566 2,557 2,616 2,524 2,444 2,414 <br /> 3 Year Growth 2,519 2574 2,522 2,564 2605 2,593 2,653 2,580 2477 2444 <br /> Average 2,504 2,539 2,517 2,559 2,604 2,616 2,669 2,635 2,608 2,609 <br /> Annual Change•Increase(Decrease)in Actual 8,Projected Membership) 81 75 59 170 67 60 17 41 (25) 5 61 32 106 81 (33) 35 35 (22) 42 44 12 53 (35) (27) 1 <br /> Capacity-100%Level of Service 1,518 2,518 2,518 2,518 2,518 2,533 2,533 2,558 2,558 2,558 2,558 2,439 2,439 2,439 2,439 2,439 2,439 2,439 2,439 2,439 2,439 2,439 2,439 2,439 2,439 <br /> Number of Students,Actual and Projected,Over(Under)100%LOS 235 (690) (631) (46 1) (394) (349) (332) (316) (341) (336) (275) (124) (18) 63 30 65 100 70 120 165 177 230 196 169 170 <br /> 110%Level of Service 1,670 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,786 2,786 2,814 2,814 2,814 2,814 2,683 683 2,683 2,683 2,683 2,683 2,683 2,683 2,683 2,683 2,683 2,683 2,683 2,683 <br /> Number of Students,Actual and Projected,Over(Under)110%LOS 83 (942) (883) (713) (646) (602)1 (585) (572) (597) (592) (531) (368) •) (181) (214) 179) (144) (166) (124) (79) (67) (14) (48) (75) (74) <br /> Actual-%Level of Service 115.5% 72.6% 74.9% 81.7% 84.4% 86.2% 86.9% 87.6% 86.7% 869% 892% 949% 1026% 1012% <br /> Average-%Level of Service 1026% 10.1% 1032% 1049% 1067% 1072% 1094% 1080% 1069% 1070% <br /> Annual Student Growth Rate(3) 4.84% 4.28% 3.23% 9.01% 3.26% 2.82% 0.78% 1.86% -1.12% 0.23% 2.75% 1.40% 4.58% 3.35% -1.32% 1.40% 1.42% -0.86% 1.67% 1.73% 0.47%M!05% -1.30% -1.01% 0.03% <br /> parmeaip Araeeny Alternative 5mm rapaoty sees] eater.lp Academy ate-reeve School rdocem-cpauv added <br /> indicates when distract surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service Oramewgh capacity deem,per nth eddy I <br /> 1.71 ArMarn'de VICU.,■.actual meneeiship.yeas 2.1-02 trot.2.,am map me...1p.-yeas zole,tug.zus-ze <br />