Orange County NC Website
Attachment 7 69 m <br /> CHCCS Student Projections(1)(4) <br /> Elementary <br /> School Year 2001-02 200203 2005-08 2 2007-06 200609 2008-10 2010-11 1011-12 201713 20 20 2015-16 21116-t7 2017-18 21118-18 21119-211 2020.21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-28 <br /> Aclual 4 47 4551 20034692 20 495 4 879 00 4 980 5 173 502 5 218 5 299 5 464 5 543 175554 10.5541 135501 <br /> Tbc.(2) 5,576 5,651 5,726 5,831 5,676 5,951 8,028 8,102 6,177 6,252 <br /> OCR 5,802 5,728 5,858 5,975 6,082 3198 6,286 6,376 6,452 6,46 <br /> Year GOwh 5,547 5,547 5,560 5,524 5,575 5,631 5,687 5,744 5,801 5,859 <br /> 5 Year Growth 5,534 5,525 5,526 5,484 5,528 5,583 5,639 5,695 5,752 5,810 <br /> 3 Year Growth 5,502 5,467 9443 5,306 5/27 An.C.a..-Increase(Decroase)In.2118 PE ed Membership) 20 1 3 1. 101 193 128 1831 168 79 121 1401 5,531 5,32 5,39 5,614 5,635 5,768 5,656 5,93 6664 6,034 <br /> Capacity•1007.Level of Service(LOS) 4,302 4,302 4,92 4,921 4,9 4,9 4,9 5,244 5,244 5, 5, 5,2 5,8 5,a 5,829 5,829 5,829 5,829 5020 5,a20 5,829 5,829 5,829 5,829 5,a20 <br /> Number e Students,Actual an rgacted Over(U 100%Las (229) (226) (42) 58 (25) (2761 (2881 13281 (2771 (2451 (2071 (1951 (1301 1611 137 <br /> Capacity 105%Level of Service(LOS) 4,5 0.517 5,187 5,167 5,1 5,1 5,1 5,506 5,506 5, 5, 5,5 6,1 6,120 6,120 6,120 8,120 6,120 8,120 6,120 6,120 6,120 6,120 6,120 <br /> umber...W..Actual and Pr Jetted,Over W 105%LOS (431 34 14751 14721 (2881 11871 66 12041 12871 1221101 (42) 37 15661 1391 (619) 15681 (5371 14981 14861 P211 13521 12861 (2191 11551 1901 <br /> Actual-%Level of Service 104. 1058% 95.3% 954% 98.1% 1012% 105.1% 1011% 98.5% 1014% 104.2% 105755 95.359 95. 94.4% <br /> 95.355 95.8% 96.6% 96.755 97.8% 93.0% 1.1% 101.255 102.355 103.455 <br /> Annual Student Growth Rate 131 0.6899 1.72% 3.10% 0.06% 3.93% 2.076 3.8695 2.49% 4.57% 1.48% 3.1796 1.45% 0.10% -0.0. <br /> 79 .83% 0.57% 0.89% 0.21% 1.18% 1.21% 1.15% 1.1% 1.097, 1.08%.77,77 s P 161 upd a csp mmory..............9.vr xff I iMiratea xea tlso-d surpasses Schools FO recommended Level Of Bvce aw c wC. � <br /> Per amermer ek77,aim*mras <br /> mu um x n a anmmnwa m. n s.m a:pertm:t.1:vs m <br /> .LOvereMmne RIO owns m allow for prior Lea9hWaaabn m: <br /> mn•rmm.xrP.rwmm isxuw ems wmno.mmame o9amn.mmnmm.ao,.mmn.ma.inaemouaenucxce ,rocluced dm aml <br /> 0,,...1/VAN.eldatal11M,IMMIII■IMP b1,81.200142.31.1120161.0■81MOMMIM111.1,81.201.171103.20250) <br /> CHCCS Student Projections(1) <br /> Middle <br /> School Year 2 2 200607 2008-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2 20 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 202724 2024-25 2025-20 <br /> Actual 12540 2032608 20522612 20 260 00 2 572 2522 20522622 20 297 2 708 102722 112753 112785 172858 142881 132844 <br /> Tischer l2) 2.883 7922 2.960 2.999 3.038 3.077 3.116 3.154 7193 3.232 <br /> OG PPi n 2,678 2,918 2,983 3.449 3.115 3,168 3235 3,302 7370 3,438 <br /> 10 Year Grovh 2,815 2,848 2,933 3,714 3,020 3,005 2,940 2,985 2,995 3,025 <br /> 5 Year Groefh 2,788 2,816 2,885 2,887 2,081 2,834 2,884 2,891 2,810 2,838 <br /> 3 Year Growth 2,775 2,767 2,816 2,688 2748 2,798 2,716 2,728 2,756 2,734 <br /> Average 2830 7854 29 45 <br /> 29 2,998 2,997 7974 3,008 3,0 3,087 <br /> Annual Chage-Increase(Decrease)In Actual C.Projected Membership) 214 88 4 (52) 12 20 30 75 11 14 31 32 73 76 1171 1141 24 61 80 1 0 1221 32 38 39 <br /> Capacity•100%Level 47 Service 2,840 2,840 2,840 2440 2,840 2,840 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,214 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,214 2,944 2,214 2,944 <br /> Number of Students,Actual and Peal...,Overlurmed 100%LOS 13901 12321 12281 12601 (2581 12481 (2181 11431 11321 (1151 167) (55) (83) 11001 (114) 1901 (291 53 30 62 101 140 <br /> 107%Level of Service 3.039 1039 7039 3059 3.039 1039 7039 3059 3.039 1039 3.030 3.039 3.039 7150 7150 8.150 3.150 7150 3.150 1.850 3.150 3150 0.810 3150 0.810 <br /> Number 47522d.027,Actual and 710e21e2.Over(Under)107%LOS (4991 (4311 14271 (4791 (4671 (447) (4171 (3421 (3311 1317) (2861 (2541 (1811 (2891 13061 (3201 (2961 (2351 (1551 (1541 (1541 (1761 (144) (1051 (671 <br /> Actual 55 Level of Service 89.4% 91.855 92.055 90.155 90.655 91.355 92.355 95.055 95.455 95.855 96.955 98.155 100.655 97.255 9 695 <br /> 96.1% 969% 99.0% 101.7% 101.8% 101.8% 1010% 102.1% 1034% 104.7% <br /> Annual Student Onwhh Rate(31 8.20% 2.68% 0.15% 4.88% 0.47% 0.78% 1.16% 2.86% 0.41% 0.52% 1.11% 1.16% 2.62% 2.73% -02094 450% 0.86% 2.18% 2.74% 0.03% 0.00% 475% 1.08% 1.28% 1.27% <br /> IMlrataswren dlaact surp..a Schools AP.recommended Level of Service <br /> luaoael.....sadem wea k <br /> m2.-.......miness.mess me.roman execs me ace oliprnms.W.P.Man P.m...A mei...maw meta waccs <br /> CHCCS Student Projections(1) <br /> High <br /> School Year 1001-02 2002-03 2003-04 200205 200708 200807 2007-08 200609 2009-10 201041 201142 2012-13 201314 201415 201548 201417 2017-18 201849 201420 2020-31 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 202425 202.6 <br /> Actual 2 963 3 162 3 330 3 422 3 514 3 520 3 635 3 630 3 606 3 640 3 714 3 796 3 764 3 730 3 701 <br /> Thoh. 3 752 3802 3 853 3 903 3954 4 004 4 055 4 105 4 156 4206 <br /> OC Plan.. 3 792 3 849 3 880 3 923 3934 4 032 4 100 4 168 4 249 4 332 <br /> 10 Yasr Gros. 3 753 3 838 3 864 3 900 3 939 3 977 4 124 4 145 4121 4 113 <br /> 5 Year Gro. 3 757 3 834 3850 3 839 3 853 3 875 3 999 4 016 3 983 3 954 <br /> ear Growth ON <br /> 3 73 3 77 3 371 3 70 39 3 78 3 3 3 <br /> Average 3.757 3.820 3.842 3257 3,883 3.917 4.013 4,041 4.045 4,058 <br /> 40028>0h8088.IOC,8888(022,68821 in...al 8 Protected Memberohipl 148 189 168 92 92 6 115 151 1241 34 74 82 1321 1661 (29) 56 63 22 35 96 28 3 13 <br /> Capacity.1007 Level of Service 3725 3775 <br /> Number of 7124e518.Actual and 714i71e4.Over(Under)100%LOS 3(72 3127 3295 3387 3479 3185 3(2001 (205 3(2291 3(2351 31611 3(79 3(1111 3151 3(174( 3(1181 3(551 3(331 (181 3,8785 3,875 42 3,875 <br /> 138 3,875 <br /> 188 3,875 <br /> 170 3183 <br /> 110%Level of Service 3.339 0.000 0.000 0.000 3.339 0.000 7219 4219 7219 7263 4.203 7263 7263 4.263 4.203 7263 7263 4.263 4263 7263 7203 4.203 7263 4.203 4,263 <br /> Number of Student.,Actual and Projected,over(Under)110%LOS (3761 (1771 (9) 83 176 182 (5841 (5891 (661 (6231 (5491 (4671 (4991 (533) (5821 (505) (442) (420) (4001 (380) (345) (249) (221) (2181 (205) <br /> Actual-%Level of.vioe 976% 1042% 1097% 1128% 1158% 11607 948% 947% 9407 939% 9 8% 9110% 97.1% 967% 95.5% <br /> Average- 970% 988% 99295 99.5% 100.2% 101.1% 1036% 104.3% 104.4% 104.7% <br /> Annual Student Grown Rate 131 5.20% 6.72% 5.31% 2.78% 2.89%1 clod 3R7% w-0.14% -0.66% 0.04% 2.0 2.21% -me4% -1.74% -0.76% 1.52% 1.68% 0.57% 0.37% 0.67% 0.69% 2.44% 0.71% 0.06% 0.32% <br /> Indicates when district surpasses Schools AP.recommended Level of Service taro.....mta17m7....a aammal.w•az I onzamv®rmm <br />