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16 <br /> High School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed the 110% LOS standard (current LOS is 95.5%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to increase over the next 10 years <br /> (average—0.93% compared to 0.79% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Similar to last year,projections are not showing a need to expand Carrboro High <br /> School from the initial capacity of 800 students to the ultimate capacity of 1,200 <br /> students in the 10 year projection period. <br /> ORANGE COUNTY SCHOOL DISTRICT <br /> Elementary School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 105% LOS standard (current LOS is 89.8%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected remain the same over the next 10 years <br /> (average—0.80% compared to 0.80% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Similar to last year,projections are not showing a need for an additional Elementary <br /> School in the 10 year projection period. <br /> Middle School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 107% LOS standard (current LOS is 80.3%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease, but remain positive over <br /> the next 10 years (average—0.67% compared to 1.04% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Similar to last year,projections are not showing a need for an additional Middle School <br /> in the 10 year projection period. <br /> High School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 110% LOS standard(current LOS is 101.2%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease, but remain positive over <br /> the next 10 years (average—0.56% compared to 1.99% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Projections are not showing a need to expand Cedar Ridge High School from the initial <br /> capacity of 1,000 students to 1,500 students in the ten year projection period. Last year's <br /> projections showed a need in 2022-23. <br /> ADDITIONAL INFORMATION <br /> The Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance (SAPFO) student projections illustrate when <br /> the adopted level of service capacities are forecasted to be met and/or exceeded in anticipation of <br /> CIP planning and the construction of a new school. However, as is being identified by both <br /> school districts, a new trend is emerging to renovate and expand existing facilities to address <br /> school capacity needs in a more feasible way. As this trend continues, additional capacity <br /> resulting from school renovations and expansions will be added to the projection models in <br /> stages, once funding is approved, versus the addition of greater capacity when a new school is <br /> constructed and completed. The renovation and expansion to existing facilities may delay <br /> construction of new schools further into the future. This process will pose some challenges to <br /> SAPFO compared to the existing process which indicates in advance when a completely new <br /> school is needed. Decisions on the timing of reconstruction funding would be indirectly linked to <br /> the SAPFO model. <br /> iii <br />