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13 <br /> Table of Contents <br /> 2016 SAPFOTAC Executive Summary i <br /> Introduction iv <br /> Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance Partners v <br /> Planning Directors/School Representatives Technical Advisory Committee vi <br /> I. Base Memorandum of Understanding 1 <br /> A. Level of Service 1 <br /> B. Building Capacity and Membership 2 <br /> Attachment I.B.1 Orange County School Capacity(Elementary,Middle, &High) (2014-15) 5 <br /> Attachment I.B.2 Chapel Hill/Carrboro School Capacity(Elementary,Middle, &High)(2014-15) 8 <br /> Attachment LB.3 Orange County School Capacity(Elementary,Middle, &High) (2015-16) 11 <br /> Attachment I.B.4 Chapel Hill/Carrboro School Capacity(Elementary,Middle, &High)(2015-16) 14 <br /> C. Membership Date 17 <br /> II. Annual Update to Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance System 18 <br /> A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) 18 <br /> B. Student Membership Projection Methodology 19 <br /> Attachment II.B.I Student Membership Projection Descriptions 21 <br /> Attachment II.B.2—Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis(2014-15) 22 <br /> Attachment II.B.3—Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis(2015-16) 26 <br /> C. Student Membership Projections 30 <br /> Attachment II.C.1 —Orange County Student Projections(Elementary,Middle, &High) (2014-15) 35 <br /> Attachment II.C.2—Chapel HilUCarrboro Student Projections(Elementary,Middle,&High)(2014-15) 36 <br /> Attachment II.C.3—Orange County Student Projections(Elementary,Middle, &High) (2015-16) 37 <br /> Attachment II.C.4—Chapel HilUCarrboro Student Projections(Elementary,Middle,&High)(2015-16) 38 <br /> D. Student Membership Growth Rate 39 <br /> Attachment II.D.1 —Orange County and Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Growth Rates <br /> (Chart dates from 2015-2025 based on 11/14/14 membership numbers) (2014-15) 40 <br /> Attachment II.D.2—Orange County and Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Growth Rates <br /> (Chart dates from 2016-2026 based on 11/13/15 membership numbers) (2015-16) 41 <br /> E. Student/Housing Generation Rate 42 <br /> Attachment II.E.1 —Current Student Generation Rates(2015) 44 <br /> III. Flowchart of Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance Process 45 <br /> A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) (Process 1) 45 <br /> Attachment IILA.1 —Process 1 Capital Improvement Plan 46 <br /> B. Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance Certificate of Adequate Public Schools (CAPS) <br /> Update (Process 2) 47 <br /> Attachment III.B.1 —Process 2 Certificate of Adequate Public Schools(CAPS)Allocation 49 <br />