Orange County NC Website
Attachment 2 aw <br /> CHCCS Student Projections(1)(4) <br /> Elementary <br /> School Year 2001-02 200203 2005-08 2 200758 200809 2008-10 2010-11 1011-12 201513 20 20 2015-16 21116-t7 2017-18 21118-18 21119-211 2020.21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-28 <br /> Actual 4 47 4551 20034692 20 495 4 878 00 4 980 5 173 502 5 218 5 288 5 464 5 543 155554 10.5541 135501 <br /> Tbc.(2) 5,576 5,651 5,726 5,831 5,676 5,951 6,026 6,102 6,177 6,252 <br /> OCR 5,802 5,728 5,658 5,975 8,082 8,198 8,288 8,378 8,452 8,48 <br /> earGro M 5,547 5,547 5,5130 5,524 5,575 5,1331 5,887 5,744 5,801 5,859 <br /> 5 Year GrovAh 5,534 5,525 5,526 5,484 5,528 5,583 5,639 5,695 5,752 5,810 <br /> 3 Year Growl)) 5,502 5,467 5,443 5,386 5/27 An.CM1age-Incmase(Decmase)In.5118 E Mtl Membership) 20 1 121 1401 31 32 39 35 6 4,3 4, 4,92 5,a 5,829 5,829 5,829 5,829 5,829 5,a20 5,82ver 1U 100%Las (229) (2881 (328) 12771 (2451 1207) (1951 1130) 1611 4,5 0.517 5,187 5,1 5,506 5,506 5, 5, 5,5 6,1 6,120 6,120 6,120 8,120 6,120 8,120 6,120 verlU106%LOS (431 34 14751 14721 (2881 11871 66 12041 12871 1221101 (421 37 1565 1291 (6191 15681 (5371 14981 14861 14211 13521 12861 (2191 11551 1901 <br /> Actual-%Level of Service 104. 1058% 95.3% 954% 99.1% 1012% 105.1% 1011% 99.5% 1014% 104.2% 1057% 95.35), 95. 94.4% <br /> 95.3% 95.8% 96.5% 96.755 97.8% 93.0% 100.1% 101.255 102.355 103.455 <br /> Annual Student Growth Rate 131 0.86% 1.73% 3.10% 0.08% 3.93% 3.076 3.6851, 3.495S 4.57% 1.48% 3.1796 1.45% 0.10% -0.0. 73 all 93% 0.57% I 0.89% 0.31% 1.18% 1.31% 145% 1.14% 1.09% 1.08% <br /> Cod/ales when tllseiJ surpasses SCMds PPO 5/nol ot9(pens 5)fall 2503.11 recommended Level of.vice 1619 aQ.w°0scuwd a c cw asp �mmorvx,0,000tvalmyvr Semen,en.,5.mmcwJgmss <br /> u um x n a 11).650.50574 nra. n. sum .L OeveareMmnnry mos.(m albwbudm LeahhWaanim m: <br /> mn•wrxrP.rwmm.iswuwmnmm..wmnocmmame o9.wP6mn.mmnm.sm.rmww,.mmnwmau.inaemmanwueenucxcce. 1 ma/MN amlm <br /> 1.,...A peAlraiseMalfia ulnpadMmilMant001.0211=1.20161.0■■■••pmw■Inil.,an201.171103.20250) <br /> CHCCS Student Projections(1) <br /> Middle <br /> School Year 2 2 200807 2008-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2 20 2015-18 2018-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 202524 2024-25 2025-20 <br /> Actual 12540 2032608 20522612 20 260 00 2 572 2522 20522622 20 297 2 708 102722 112753 112785 152856 142881 132844 <br /> T'lxhb l2) 2.863 7922 2.960 2.999 3.038 3.077 3.116 3.154 7193 3.232 <br /> OG Plignnin 2,878 2,818 2,983 3.049 3.115 3,168 3235 3,302 7370 3,438 <br /> 10 Year Growth 2,815 2,848 2,933 3,544 3,020 3,005 2,940 2,985 2,995 3,025 <br /> 5 Year Coos. 2,786 2,816 2,865 2,867 2,081 2,834 2,864 2,891 2,810 2,838 <br /> 3 Year Growth 2,775 2,767 2,816 2,898 2648 2,798 2,716 2,729 2,756 2,734 <br /> Average 2830 7854 29 45 <br /> 29 2,998 2,997 7974 3,008 3,0 3,084 <br /> Annual Chage-Increase(Decrease)In Actual&Projected Membership) 214 88 0 (52) 12 20 30 75 11 14 31 32 73 78 1171 1141 24 81 80 1 0 1221 32 38 39 <br /> Capacity•100%Level 47 Service 2,840 2,840 2,840 2440 2,840 2,840 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,944 2,944 <br /> Number of Students,Actual and PrJacted,over(Under)100%LOS 13001 12321 12281 12601 (2681 12481 (2181 11431 11321 (1161 1071 (55) 18 (53) 1100) (1141 1901 (291 53 30 62 101 140 <br /> 107%Level of Service 3.039 1039 7039 3659 3.039 1039 7039 3659 3.039 1039 3.030 3.039 3.039 3450 3450 8.150 3.150 3450 3.150 1.850 3.150 3150 0.810 3150 0.810 <br /> Number of Students.Actual and 710e21e2.Over(Under)107%LOS (4991 (4311 14271 (4791 (4671 (471 (4171 (3421 (3311 13171 (2861 (2541 (1811 (2891 13061 (3201 (2961 (2351 (1551 (1541 (1541 (1761 (141 (1051 (971 <br /> Actual 55 Level of Service 89.4% 91.855 92.055 90.155 90.655 91.355 92.355 95.055 95.455 95.855 96.955 98.155 100.655 97.255 9 655 <br /> 96.1% 969% 99.0% 101.7% 101.8% 101.8% 1010% 102.1% 1034% 104.7% <br /> Annual Student 0nwhh Rate(3) 8.20% 2.68% 0.15% -1.88% 0.47% 0.78% 1.16% 2.86% 0.41% 0.52% 1.14% 1.16% 2.62% 2.73% -0.5. 41.50% 0.86% 2.16% 2.74% 0.03% 0.00% 41.75% 1.08% 1.28% 1.27% <br /> ....en district surpasses Schools APPO recommended Level of Service <br /> Vas..new its l ode.not e <br /> m-.Torlie.edelpare.in.sible.4 mewl Webs vb.pug ay ace.wpm Mos.....P.M.IMan Medal..114.7■•■Etlemitien W."&CM. <br /> CHCCS Student Projections(1) <br /> High <br /> School Year 1001-02 2002-03 2003-04 200505 200508 300807 1007-08 200809 2009-10 201041 201142 2012-13 201314 201415 201548 101517 2017-18 201849 2019-20 2020-31 2021-22 2022-23 202734 203475 202518 <br /> Actual 2 963 3 162 3 330 3422 3 514 3 520 3 635 3 630 3 606 3 640 3 714 3 796 3 764 3 730 3 701 <br /> Thoh. 3 752 3802 3 853 3 903 3954 4 004 4 055 4 105 4 158 4208 <br /> OC Plannin• 3 792 3 849 3 880 3 923 3934 4 032 4 100 4 168 4 249 4 332 <br /> 10 Year Grow. 3 753 3 838 3 864 3 900 3 939 3 977 4 124 4 145 4 121 4 113 <br /> 5 Year... 3 757 3 834 3850 3 839 3 853 3 875 3 999 4 016 3 983 3 964 <br /> earGrowfh CPO <br /> 3 73 3 77 3 371 3 70 39 3 78 3 3 3 <br /> Average 3.757 3.820 3.842 3657 3.883 3,917 4.013 4.041 4.045 4,058 <br /> Annual Chage-Increase(0eme821 in AMwl 8 PM..Membe.shipl 148 189 168 92 92 6 115 151 1241 34 74 82 1321 1001 (29) 56 63 22 35 96 28 3 13 <br /> Capacity.100%Level 47 Service 3,635 3,675 <br /> Number of 7124e518.Actual and 714i71e4.Over(Under)100%LOS 3(72 3127 3295 3387 3479 3185 3(2001 (205 3(2291 3(2351 31611 3(79 3(1111 3111 3(174( 3(1181 3(551 3(331 (181 3,8785 3,875 42 3,875 <br /> 138 3,875 <br /> 188 3,875 <br /> 170 3183 <br /> 110%Level of Service 3.339 0.000 7339 7338 3.339 0.000 4.218 4719 4.218 4.203 4.203 4,263 4,263 4.263 4.203 4,263 4,203 4.263 4763 4,263 4,203 4.203 4,263 4.203 4,263 <br /> Number of Students,Actual and Projected,over(Under)110%LOS (3761 (1771 (9) 83 178 182 (5841 (5891 (661 (6231 (549) (4871 (4991 (533) (5821 (505) (442) (420) (4001 (380) (345) (249) (221) (2181 (205) <br /> Actual-%Level of Service 97.6% 1042% 1097% 1128% 1158% 1160% 948% 947% 940% 939% 9 8% 9110% 97.1% 96.3% 95.5% <br /> Average- 97055 98855 99255 99.555 100.255 101.155 103655 104.355 104.4% 104.755 <br /> Annual Student Growth Rata(3) 6.28% 8.7255 6.3155 2.7855 2.89551 0.17551 3.2755 w-0.14% -0.88% 0.94% 2.0 2.21% -0.84% -1.74% -0.76% 1.52% 1.68% 0.57% 0.37% 0.67% 0.69% 2.44% 0.71% 0.06% 0.32% <br /> indicates when district 5urpas5616chools ASSO recommended Level of Service sdm.....mta17m7.ahem acammal.w•az I ou50)=xnh <br /> co sttlentcapariry <br />