Orange County NC Website
4 <br /> current year outcome of how many children actually `show up' in a school year. This <br /> includes non-new project related students from existing housing stock. <br /> The purpose of explaining these two parts of the SAPFO system is to illustrate how <br /> projects can be approved as part of the CAPS system when capacity is available yet <br /> aberration in actual enrollment can cause future year projections to accelerate capital <br /> needs dramatically. The 10-year student projections developed for the SAPFO Annual <br /> Report forecast future school needs based on current student membership numbers and <br /> historic growth rates derived by the five projection models. <br /> The process accounting for students once they are actually enrolled in the school system <br /> emphasizes a delay that exists from the time a residential development is approved and <br /> developed to when students begin to enter the system. For example, the significant <br /> proposed residential growth that has occurred in the recent past within Mebane's <br /> jurisdiction has yet to be seen with OCS student membership numbers and fully entered <br /> into the historically based projection methods. Orange County staff will continue to work <br /> with the SAPFO Technical Advisory Committee and the planning partners to monitor <br /> future residential development throughout Orange County. <br /> In summary, although the SAPFO Technical Advisory Committee report does not show <br /> immediate capital needs, the development approvals in both school districts will, after a <br /> normal lag, accelerate capital school needs and renovations based on localized student <br /> increases at specific schools. These local impacts will have to be analyzed by the school <br /> district to determine the best method to resolve new demands (i.e. redistricting, <br /> renovation, new school construction, etc.). <br /> FINANCIAL IMPACT: Current 10-year student growth projections show no future needs for <br /> additional schools in the CHCCS District and OCS District. <br /> SOCIAL JUSTICE IMPACT: The following Orange County Social Justice Goal is applicable to <br /> this agenda item: <br /> • GOAL: ENSURE ECONOMIC SELF-SUFFICIENCY <br /> The creation and preservation of infrastructure, policies, programs and funding necessary <br /> for residents to provide shelter, food, clothing and medical care for themselves and their <br /> dependents. <br /> RECOMMENDATION(S): The Manager recommends the Board: <br /> 1. Receive the 2016 SAPFOTAC Annual Report; and <br /> 2. Authorize the Chair to sign the transmittal letter to SAPFO partners contained <br /> in Attachment 1. <br />