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Table of Contents <br />I1. Annual Update to Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance System .................... .............................18 <br />A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) ............................................................................................. .............................18 <br />B. Student Membership Projection Methodology ................................................................... .............................19 <br />Attachment ILB.I Student Membership Projection Descriptions ................................................................ ............................... 21 <br />Attachment ILB.2 — Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis ( 2013- 14) ................ ............................... 22 <br />Attachment ILB.3 — Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis ( 2014- 15) ................ ............................... 26 <br />C. Student Membership Projections....... <br />....... 30 <br />Attachment ILC.1 —Orange County Student Projections (Elementary, Middle, & High) ( 2013- 14) .......... ............................... <br />35 <br />Attachment ILC.2 — Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Projections (Elementary, Middle, & High) (2013 -14) ............................... <br />36 <br />Attachment ILC.3 — Orange County Student Projections (Elementary, Middle, & High) ( 2014- 15) .......... ............................... <br />37 <br />Attachment ILC.4 — Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Projections (Elementary, Middle, & High) (2014 -15) ............................... <br />38 <br />D. Student Membership Growth Rate ...................................................................................... .............................39 <br />Attachment ILD.1 — Orange County and Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Growth Rates <br />(Chart dates from 2014 -2024 based on 11/15/13 membership numbers) (2013 -14) ................................... ............................... <br />40 <br />Attachment ILD.2 — Orange County and Chapel Hill/Carrboro Student Growth Rates <br />(Chart dates from 2015 -2025 based on 11/15/14 membership numbers) (2014 -15) ................................... ............................... <br />41 <br />E. Student / Housing Generation Rate ................................................................................... ............................... 42 <br />Attachment ILE.1 — Current Student Generation Rates (2015) ................................................................... ............................... 44 <br />III.Flowchart of Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance Process ....................... .............................45 <br />A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) (Process 1) .......................................................................... .............................45 <br />Attachment IILA.I — Process 1 Capital Improvement Plan ......................................................................... ............................... 46 <br />B. Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance Certificate of Adequate Public Schools <br />(CAPS) Update (Process 2) ................................................................................................ ............................... 47 <br />Attachment IILB.1 — Process 2 Certificate of Adequate Public Schools ( CAPS) Allocation ...................... ............................... 48 <br />