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Attachment A -2
<br />Updated 5 -Year Bus Revenue Forecast Compared to Adopted Plan
<br />Bus Operations - Updated 5 -Year Forecast
<br />(Dollars shown in $1000's)
<br />Orange
<br />FY14
<br />FY15
<br />FY15
<br />FY16
<br />FY17
<br />FY18
<br />FY19
<br />Total
<br />Total Hours - Orange County
<br />0.00
<br />458.45
<br />7,685
<br />20,292
<br />30,199
<br />34,568
<br />945.76
<br />35,301
<br />30.0%
<br />35,601
<br />137.54
<br />163,645
<br />Total Cost
<br />0.00
<br />$
<br />736
<br />$ 1,884
<br />$ 2,904
<br />$ 3,509
<br />$
<br />3,650
<br />$
<br />3,788
<br />$
<br />16,471
<br />Federal Share
<br />2.3%
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$ -
<br />$ 35
<br />$ 70
<br />$
<br />114
<br />$
<br />160
<br />$
<br />379
<br />State Share
<br />5.1%
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$ 44
<br />$ 125
<br />$ 194
<br />$
<br />235
<br />$
<br />245
<br />$
<br />844
<br />Local Share
<br />81.8%
<br />$
<br />736
<br />$ 1,758
<br />$ 2,622
<br />$ 3,101
<br />$
<br />3,154
<br />$
<br />3,233
<br />$
<br />13,466
<br />Farebox
<br />3.9%
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$ 82
<br />$ 122
<br />$ 144
<br />$
<br />146
<br />$
<br />150
<br />$
<br />644
<br />TTA OBRIP New Hours (FY14 $108 /hr)
<br />315.25
<br />Federal Share
<br />1,102
<br />4,603
<br />6,961
<br />7,926
<br />0.00
<br />8,224
<br />0.00
<br />8,306
<br />State Share
<br />37,121
<br />Total Cost
<br />7.52
<br />$
<br />119
<br />$ 513
<br />$ 799
<br />$ 967
<br />$
<br />1,004
<br />$
<br />1,045
<br />$
<br />4,446
<br />Federal Share
<br />0.00
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$ -
<br />$ 10
<br />$ 19
<br />$
<br />31
<br />$
<br />44
<br />$
<br />104
<br />State Share
<br />7.5%
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$ 9
<br />$ 38
<br />$ 60
<br />$
<br />73
<br />$
<br />75
<br />$
<br />255
<br />Local Share
<br />58.48
<br />$
<br />119
<br />$ 422
<br />$ 629
<br />$ 744
<br />$
<br />754
<br />$
<br />776
<br />$
<br />3,444
<br />Farebox
<br />15.0%
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$ 82
<br />$ 122
<br />$ 144
<br />$
<br />146
<br />$
<br />150
<br />$
<br />644
<br />CHT OBRIP New Hours (FY14 $103 /hr)
<br />4,575
<br />10,929
<br />16,355
<br />19,219
<br />19,457
<br />19,625
<br />90,160
<br />Total Cost
<br />$
<br />471
<br />$ 1,161
<br />$ 1,791
<br />$ 2,169
<br />$
<br />2,264
<br />$
<br />2,355
<br />$
<br />10,211
<br />Federal Share
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$ -
<br />$ 25
<br />$ 51
<br />$
<br />83
<br />$
<br />116
<br />$
<br />275
<br />State Share
<br />7.5%
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$ 35
<br />$ 87
<br />$ 134
<br />$
<br />163
<br />$
<br />170
<br />$
<br />589
<br />Local Share
<br />$
<br />471
<br />$ 1,125
<br />$ 1,678
<br />$ 1,984
<br />$
<br />2,019
<br />$
<br />2,069
<br />$
<br />9,347
<br />Farebox
<br />0.0%
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$ -
<br />$ -
<br />$ -
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$
<br />-
<br />OPT OBRIP New Hours (FY14 $44 /hr)
<br />2,008
<br />4,759
<br />6,883
<br />7,424
<br />7,620
<br />7,670
<br />36,364
<br />Total Cost
<br />$
<br />88
<br />$ 211
<br />$ 315
<br />$ 372
<br />$
<br />382
<br />$
<br />388
<br />$
<br />1,756
<br />Federal Share
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$ -
<br />$ -
<br />$ -
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$
<br />-
<br />State Share
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$ -
<br />$ -
<br />$ -
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$
<br />-
<br />$
<br />-
<br />Local Share
<br />100.0%
<br />$
<br />88
<br />$ 211
<br />$ 315
<br />$ 372
<br />$
<br />382
<br />$
<br />388
<br />$
<br />1,756
<br />Farebox
<br />0.091.
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />Bus Capital - Bus Acquisitions - Updated Assumptions
<br />Orange
<br />FY14
<br />FY15
<br />FY16
<br />FY17
<br />FY18
<br />FY19
<br />Total
<br />TTA Bus Acquisitions (2 buses)
<br />0.00
<br />458.45
<br />0.00
<br />487.31
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />945.76
<br />Federal Share
<br />30.0%
<br />0.00
<br />137.54
<br />0.00
<br />146.19
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />283.73
<br />State Share
<br />5.0%
<br />0.00
<br />22.92
<br />0.00
<br />24.37
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />47.29
<br />Local Share
<br />65.0%
<br />0.00
<br />297.99
<br />0.00
<br />316.75
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />614.75
<br />CHT Bus Acquisitions (8 buses)
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />1,417.99
<br />1,461.94
<br />1,004.84
<br />0.00
<br />3,884.77
<br />Federal Share
<br />30.0%
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />425.40
<br />438.58
<br />301.45
<br />0.00
<br />1,165.43
<br />State Share
<br />5.0%
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />70.90
<br />73.10
<br />50.24
<br />0.00
<br />194.24
<br />Local Share
<br />65.0%
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />921.69
<br />950.26
<br />653.15
<br />0.00
<br />2,525.10
<br />OPT Bus Acquisitions (2 buses)
<br />0.00
<br />150.41
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />164.84
<br />0.00
<br />315.25
<br />Federal Share
<br />30.0%
<br />0.00
<br />45.12
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />49.45
<br />0.00
<br />94.58
<br />State Share
<br />5.0%
<br />0.00
<br />7.52
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />8.24
<br />0.00
<br />15.76
<br />Local Share
<br />65.0%
<br />0.00
<br />97.77
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />107.15
<br />0.00
<br />204.91
<br />Totals - Orange County
<br />0.00
<br />608.86
<br />1,417.99
<br />1,949.26
<br />1,169.68
<br />0.00
<br />5,145.79
<br />Total Federal Share
<br />30.0%
<br />0.00
<br />182.66
<br />425.40
<br />584.78
<br />350.90
<br />0.00
<br />1,543.74
<br />Total State Share
<br />5.0%
<br />0.00
<br />30.44
<br />70.90
<br />97.46
<br />58.48
<br />0.00
<br />257.29
<br />Total Local Share
<br />65.0%
<br />0.00
<br />395.76
<br />921.69
<br />1,267.02
<br />760.29
<br />0.00
<br />3,344.76
<br />Bus Capital - Facilities - Updated Assumptions
<br />Orange
<br />FY14
<br />FY15
<br />FY16
<br />FY17
<br />FY18
<br />FY19
<br />Total
<br />Total Cost
<br />25.00
<br />950.05
<br />1,541.75
<br />2,467.95
<br />2,222.24
<br />0.00
<br />7,206.99
<br />Federal Share Bus Facility
<br />38.0%
<br />0.00
<br />361.02
<br />585.86
<br />937.82
<br />844.45
<br />0.00
<br />2,729.16
<br />State Share Bus Facility
<br />8.0%
<br />0.00
<br />76.00
<br />123.34
<br />197.44
<br />177.78
<br />0.00
<br />574.56
<br />Local Share Bus Facility
<br />54.0%
<br />25.00
<br />513.03
<br />832.54
<br />1,332.69
<br />1,200.01
<br />0.00
<br />3,903.27
<br />6/23/2014
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